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We consider the task of estimating a Gaussian graphical model in the high-dimensional setting. The graphical lasso, which involves maximizing the Gaussian log likelihood subject to an l1 penalty, is a well-studied approach for this task. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-23 Kean Ming Tan , Daniela Witten , Ali Shojaie

This paper introduces a new methodology to analyse bipartite and unipartite networks with nonnegative edge values. The proposed approach combines and adapts a number of ideas from the literature on latent variable network models. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-29 Riccardo Rastelli

Bayesian fused lasso is one of the sparse Bayesian methods, which shrinks both regression coefficients and their successive differences simultaneously. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian fused lasso modeling via horseshoe prior. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Yuko Kakikawa , Kaito Shimamura , Shuichi Kawano

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Networks underpin systems that range from finance to biology, yet their structure is often only partially observed. Current reconstruction methods typically fit the parameters of a model anew to each snapshot, thus offering no guidance to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-28 Mattia Marzi , Tiziano Squartini

A Bayesian network is a graphical model that encodes probabilistic relationships among variables of interest. When used in conjunction with statistical techniques, the graphical model has several advantages for data analysis. One, because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 David Heckerman

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

In this note, we consider using a link function that has heavier tails than the usual exponential link function. We construct efficient Gibbs algorithms for Poisson and Multinomial models based on this link function by introducing gamma and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura

The temporal dynamics of a complex system such as a social network or a communication network can be studied by understanding the patterns of link appearance and disappearance over time. A critical task along this understanding is to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Mahmudur Rahman , Tanay Kumar Saha , Mohammad Al Hasan , Kevin S. Xu , Chandan K. Reddy

Multinomial logistic regression is one of the most popular models for modelling the effect of explanatory variables on a subject choice between a set of specified options. This model has found numerous applications in machine learning,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-19 Cedric Archambeau , Francois Caron

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

This paper proposes a new Bayesian machine learning model that can be applied to large datasets arising in macroeconomics. Our framework sums over many simple two-component location mixtures. The transition between components is determined…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-05 Florian Huber

In this work, we consider a manufactory process which can be described by a multiple-instance logistic regression model. In order to compute the maximum likelihood estimation of the unknown coefficient, an expectation-maximization algorithm…

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

Oversampling is a common characteristic of data representing dynamic networks. It introduces noise into representations of dynamic networks, but there has been little work so far to compensate for it. Oversampling can affect the quality of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-12 Benjamin Fish , Rajmonda S. Caceres

In many applied fields, such as genomics, different types of data are collected on the same system, and it is not uncommon that some of these datasets are subject to censoring as a result of the measurement technologies used, such as data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Luigi Augugliaro , Gianluca Sottile , Veronica Vinciotti

We propose a dynamic network model where two mechanisms control the probability of a link between two nodes: (i) the existence or absence of this link in the past, and (ii) node-specific latent variables (dynamic fitnesses) describing the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Piero Mazzarisi , Paolo Barucca , Fabrizio Lillo , Daniele Tantari

The application of the lasso is espoused in high-dimensional settings where only a small number of the regression coefficients are believed to be nonzero. Moreover, statistical properties of high-dimensional lasso estimators are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-07 Bala Rajaratnam , Steven Roberts , Doug Sparks , Onkar Dalal

Deep directed generative models have attracted much attention recently due to their expressive representation power and the ability of ancestral sampling. One major difficulty of learning directed models with many latent variables is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Siqi Nie , Qiang Ji