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Most previous studies of epidemic dynamics on complex networks suppose that the disease will eventually stabilize at either a disease-free state or an endemic one. In reality, however, some epidemics always exhibit sporadic and recurrent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Michael Small , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

Network-based models of epidemic spread have become increasingly popular in recent decades. Despite a rich foundation of such models, few low-dimensional systems for modeling SIS-type diseases have been proposed that manage to capture the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Carl Corcoran , Alan Hastings

In this work, we review the figures used to characterize an epidemic outbreak most. Particular attention is drawn to epidemic spreading at time-varying transition rates. A time-varying SIR-like model is used to describe the epidemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-06 Hernán De Battista , José García-Clúa , Sebastián Nuñez , Fernando Inthamoussou , Fabricio Garelli

We consider the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a Euclidean network in one dimension in which nodes at a distance $l$ are connected with probability $P(l) \propto l^{-\delta}$ in addition to nearest neighbors. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-04 Abdul Khaleque , Parongama Sen

Targeting influential nodes in complex networks allows fastening or hindering rumors, epidemics, and electric blackouts. Since communities are prevalent in real-world networks, community-aware centrality measures exploit this information to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Stephany Rajeh , Ali Yassin , Ali Jaber , Hocine Cherifi

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

We consider an epidemic process on adaptive activity-driven temporal networks, with adaptive behaviour modelled as a change in activity and attractiveness due to infection. By using a mean-field approach, we derive an analytical estimate of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Marco Mancastroppa , Raffaella Burioni , Vittoria Colizza , Alessandro Vezzani

The effects of local and global connectivity on the spread of synergistic susceptible-infected-removed epidemics were studied in lattice models with infinite- and finite-range rewiring (small-world and small-world-like models). Several…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-16 David Broder-Rodgers , Francisco J. Pérez-Reche , Sergei N. Taraskin

Changing environmental conditions can significantly affect the dynamics of disease spread. These changes may arise naturally or result from human interventions; in the latter case, lockdown measures that lead to abrupt but temporary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-29 Elad Korngut , Michael Assaf

Nowadays, epidemic models provide an appropriate tool for describing the propagation of biological viruses in human or animal populations, or rumours and other kinds of information in social networks and malware in both computer and ad hoc…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Vladislav Taynitskiy , Elena Gubar , Denis Fedyanin , Ilya Petrov , Quanyan Zhu

We study the critical effect of quarantine on the propagation of epidemics on an adaptive network of social contacts. For this purpose, we analyze the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model in the presence of quarantine, where…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 C. Lagorio , M. Dickison , F. Vazquez , L. A. Braunstein , P. A. Macri , M. V. Migueles , S. Havlin , H. E. Stanley

The temporal dynamics of social interactions were shown to influence the spread of disease. Here, we model the conditions of progression and competition for several viral strains, exploring various levels of cross-immunity over temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-14 Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

A theoretical framework for the description of Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) spreading processes with synergistic transmission of infection on a lattice is developed. The model incorporates explicitly the effects of a time-dependent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-25 Sergei Taraskin , Francisco J. Pérez-Reche

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

The spread of an infectious disease can, in some cases, promote the propagation of other pathogens favouring violent outbreaks, which cause a discontinuous transition to an endemic state. The topology of the contact network plays a crucial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-21 Peng-Bi Cui , Francesca Colaiori , Claudio Castellano

Many real networks are embedded in a metric space: the interactions among individuals depend on their spatial distances and usually take place among their nearest neighbors. In this paper, we introduce a modified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Xin-Jian Xu , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou , Guanrong Chen

The SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic model on an arbitrary network, without making approximations, is a $2^n$-state Markov chain with a unique absorbing state (the all-healthy state). This makes analysis of the SIS model and,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Christos Thrampoulidis , Babak Hassibi

We study epidemic arrival times in meta-population disease models through the lens of front propagation into unstable states. We demonstrate that several features of invasion fronts in the PDE context are also relevant to the network case.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Ashley Armbruster , Matt Holzer , Noah Roselli , Lena Underwood

We present a degree-based theoretical framework to study the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics on time-varying (rewired) configuration model networks. Using this framework, we provide a detailed analysis of the stationary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-16 Guillaume St-Onge , Jean-Gabriel Young , Edward Laurence , Charles Murphy , Louis J. Dubé

Self-adaptive dynamics occurs in many physical systems such as socio-economics, neuroscience, or biophysics. We formalize a self-adaptive modeling approach, where adaptation takes place within a set of strategies based on the history of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-01 Konstantin Clauß , Christian Kuehn