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Active labor market policies are widely used by the Swiss government, enrolling over half of all unemployed individuals. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of Swiss programs in improving employment and earnings outcomes using causal…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-13 Federica Mascolo , Nora Bearth , Fabian Muny , Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

This study explores the impact of unemployment benefits on employment quality, job stability, and tenure within complex labour market dynamics. Given the macroeconomic consequences of changes in unemployment benefits, including their impact…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-31 Jessica Reale , Frederik Banning , Michael Roos

This paper shows that group composition shapes the effectiveness of labor market training programs for jobseekers. Using rich administrative data from Germany and a novel measure of employability, I find that participants benefit from…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Ulrike Unterhofer

Active labor market programs are important instruments used by European employment agencies to help the unemployed find work. Investigating large administrative data on German long-term unemployed persons, we analyze the effectiveness of…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-30 Daniel Goller , Tamara Harrer , Michael Lechner , Joachim Wolff

Using rich Swedish administrative data, we apply causal machine learning methods to study how earnings losses after job displacement vary with observable characteristics that may be relevant for targeting policy interventions for workers.…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-17 Susan Athey , Lisa K. Simon , Oskar N. Skans , Johan Vikstrom , Yaroslav Yakymovych

Based on administrative data of unemployed in Belgium, we estimate the labour market effects of three training programmes at various aggregation levels using Modified Causal Forests, a causal machine learning estimator. While all programmes…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-20 Bart Cockx , Michael Lechner , Joost Bollens

A growing number of applications involve settings where, in order to infer heterogeneous effects, a researcher compares various units. Examples of research designs include children moving between different neighborhoods, workers moving…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-03 Stephane Bonhomme , Angela Denis

This paper presents a novel approach to distinguish the impact of duration-dependent forces and adverse selection on the exit rate from unemployment by leveraging variation in the length of layoff notices. I formulate a Mixed Hazard model…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Div Bhagia

Deploying an algorithmically informed policy is a significant intervention in society. Prominent methods for algorithmic fairness focus on the distribution of predictions at the time of training, rather than the distribution of social goods…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Sebastian Zezulka , Konstantin Genin

We develop inference for a two-sided matching model where the characteristics of agents on one side of the market are endogenous due to pre-matching investments. The model can be used to measure the impact of frictions in labour markets…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-28 Jacob Schwartz

We use regression discontinuity design and difference-in-differences methods to estimate the impact of a one-time hiring subsidy for low-educated unemployed youths in Belgium during the recovery from the Great Recession. Within a year of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-13 Andrea Albanese , Bart Cockx , Muriel Dejemeppe

I examine whether the early but temporary availability of low-barrier employment opportunities in the hospitality sector affects the labor market integration of refugees. My identification strategy combines the quasi-exogenous allocation of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-22 Felix Degenhardt

In multi-site randomized trials with many sites and few randomization units per site, an Empirical-Bayes estimator can be used to estimate the variance of the treatment effect across sites. When this estimator indicates that treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-12 Clément de Chaisemartin , Antoine Deeb

Many recent studies use individual longitudinal data to analyze job search behaviors. Such data allow the use of fixed-effects models, which supposedly address the issue of dynamic selection and make it possible to identify the structural…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-09 Jeremy Zuchuat

Algorithmic profiling is increasingly used in the public sector as a means to allocate limited public resources effectively and objectively. One example is the prediction-based statistical profiling of job seekers to guide the allocation of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Christoph Kern , Ruben L. Bach , Hannah Mautner , Frauke Kreuter

This paper considers how the effect of job displacement varies across different individuals. In particular, our interest centers on features of the distribution of the individual-level effect of job displacement. Identifying features of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-01 Afrouz Azadikhah Jahromi , Brantly Callaway

Estimating the causal effect of fertility on women's employment is challenging because fertility and labor decisions are jointly determined. The difficulty is amplified in low- and middle-income countries, where longitudinal data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Lucas Godoy Garraza , Leontine Alkema

To what extent, hiring incentives targeting a specific group of vulnerable unemployed (i.e. long term unemployed) are more effective, with respect to generalised incentives (without a definite target), to increase hirings of the targeted…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-03 Alessandra Pasquini , Marco Centra , Guido Pellegrini

We study the consequences of job markets' heavy reliance on referrals. Referrals lead to more opportunities for workers to be hired, which lead to better matches and increased productivity, but also disadvantage job-seekers with few or no…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-10 Lukas Bolte , Nicole Immorlica , Matthew O. Jackson

Evidence on the effectiveness of retraining U.S. unemployed workers primarily comes from evaluations of training programs, which represent one narrow avenue for skill acquisition. We use high-quality records from Ohio and a matching method…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-30 Pauline Leung , Zhuan Pei
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