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Conformal prediction provides distribution-free predictive intervals with finite-sample marginal coverage. However, achieving conditional validity and interval efficiency (in terms of short interval length) remains challenging, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Ran Zou , Wanrong Zhu , Bin Nan

A reduced-bias nonparametric estimator of the cumulative distribution function (CDF) and the survival function is proposed using infinite-order kernels. Fourier transform theory on generalized functions is utilized to obtain the improved…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-18 Arthur Berg , Dimitris N. Politis

We propose a method for finding a cumulative distribution function (cdf) that minimizes the distance to a given cdf, while belonging to an ambiguity set constructed relative to another cdf and, possibly, incorporating soft information. Our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-23 Julio Deride , Johannes O. Royset , Fernanda Urrea

The analysis of the joint cumulative distribution function (CDF) with bivariate event time data is a challenging problem both theoretically and numerically. This paper develops a tensor spline-based sieve maximum likelihood estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Yuan Wu , Ying Zhang

Counterfactual inference has become a ubiquitous tool in online advertisement, recommendation systems, medical diagnosis, and econometrics. Accurate modeling of outcome distributions associated with different interventions -- known as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Krikamol Muandet , Motonobu Kanagawa , Sorawit Saengkyongam , Sanparith Marukatat

We consider the problem of deriving uniform confidence bands for the mean of a monotonic stochastic process, such as the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a random variable, based on a sequence of i.i.d.~observations. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Eugenio Clerico , Hamish E Flynn , Patrick Rebeschini

This paper introduces an upper bound on the absolute difference between: (a) the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the sum of a finite number of independent and identically distributed random variables with finite absolute third…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Dadja Anade , Jean-Marie Gorce , Philippe Mary , Samir Perlaza

Consider informative selection of a sample from a finite population. Responses are realized as independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with a probability density function (p.d.f.) f, referred to as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Daniel Bonnéry , F. Jay Breidt , François Coquet

Income inequality estimators are biased in small samples, leading generally to an underestimation. This aspect deserves particular attention when estimating inequality in small domains and performing small area estimation at the area level.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Silvia De Nicolò , Maria Rosaria Ferrante , Silvia Pacei

In survey analysis, the estimation of the cumulative distribution function (cdf) is of great interest: it allows for instance to derive quantiles estimators or other non linear parameters derived from the cdf. We consider the case where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-14 Sandrine Casanova , Eve Leconte

The Gini index is a popular inequality measure with many applications in social and economic studies. This paper studies semiparametric inference on the Gini indices of two semicontinuous populations. We characterize the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Meng Yuan , Pengfei Li , Changbao Wu

The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the doubly non-central beta distribution can be expressed as an infinite double series. By truncating the sum of this series, one can obtain an approximate value of the CDF. Although numerous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Han Li , Fangfang Ma , Junjie Wang , Yinhua Tian , Baoli Dai , Tianyan Dong

We introduce Midpoint Generative Models (MGM), a principled framework for training one-step generative models. MGM is based on a simple symmetry of Flow Matching with linear interpolation: when the two endpoint distributions coincide, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Daniil Shlenskii , Nikita Gushchin , Lev Novitskiy , Dmitry V. Dylov , Alexander Korotin

In this paper we present a new family of rules for numerical integration. This family has up to half the error of the widely used Newton-Cotes rules when a sufficient number of points is evaluated and also much better numerical stability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Ricardo Luiz Utsch de Freitas Pinto , Bernardo Bahia Monteiro

DNN-based frame interpolation--that generates the intermediate frames given two consecutive frames--typically relies on heavy model architectures with a huge number of features, preventing them from being deployed on systems with limited…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Tianyu Ding , Luming Liang , Zhihui Zhu , Ilya Zharkov

We provide a theoretical foundation for non-parametric estimation of functions of random variables using kernel mean embeddings. We show that for any continuous function $f$, consistent estimators of the mean embedding of a random variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Carl-Johann Simon-Gabriel , Adam Ścibior , Ilya Tolstikhin , Bernhard Schölkopf

Frequency estimation is a fundamental problem in many areas. The well-known A&M and its variant estimators have established an estimation framework by iteratively interpolating the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) coefficients. In general,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-31 Kai Wu , J. Andrew Zhang , Xiaojing Huang , Y. Jay Guo

Many modern machine learning models are trained to achieve zero or near-zero training error in order to obtain near-optimal (but non-zero) test error. This phenomenon of strong generalization performance for "overfitted" / interpolated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-29 Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Partha Mitra

American income inequality, generally estimated with tax data, in the 20th century is widely recognized to have followed a U-curve, though debates persist over the extent of this curve, specifically regarding how high the peaks are and how…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-19 Vincent Geloso , Alexis Akira Toda

The quality of datasets is a critical issue in big data mining. More interesting things could be mined from datasets with higher quality. The existence of missing values in geographical data would worsen the quality of big datasets. To…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Kaifeng Gao , Gang Mei , Salvatore Cuomo , Francesco Piccialli , Nengxiong Xu