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This paper uses stochastic dominance principles to construct upper and lower sample path bounds for Hidden Markov Model (HMM) filters. Given a HMM, by using convex optimization methods for nuclear norm minimization with copositive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Cristian Rojas

We comment on some conceptual and and technical problems related to computational mechanics, point out some errors in several papers, and straighten out some wrong priority claims. We present explicitly the correct algorithm for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-09 Peter Grassberger

Semi-Markov processes play an important role in the effective description of partially accessible systems in stochastic thermodynamics. They occur, for instance, in coarse-graining procedures such as state lumping and when analyzing waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Alexander M. Maier , Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

This paper presents a novel methodology for modelling precipitation patterns in a specific geographical region using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). Departing from conventional HMMs, where the hidden state process is assumed to be Markovian,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 M. L. Gamiz , D. Montoro , M. C Segovia-Garcia

Bounds on information combining are a fundamental tool in coding theory, in particular when analyzing polar codes and belief propagation. They usually bound the evolution of random variables with respect to their Shannon entropy. In recent…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Christoph Hirche , Xinyue Guan , Marco Tomamichel

Traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of hidden Markov models (HMMs) involves latent states underlying an imperfect observation process, and generates posterior samples for top-level parameters concurrently with nuisance…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-13 Daniel Turek , Perry de Valpine , Christopher J. Paciorek

Information theoretic quantities play a central role in machine learning. The recent surge in the complexity of data and models has increased the demand for accurate estimation of these quantities. However, as the dimension grows the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-21 Viktor Nilsson , Anirban Samaddar , Sandeep Madireddy , Pierre Nyquist

In this work, we extend the idea of Quantum Markov chains [S. Gudder. Quantum Markov chains. J. Math. Phys., 49(7), 2008] in order to propose Quantum Hidden Markov Models (QHMMs). For that, we use the notions of Transition Operation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-03-03 Michał Cholewa , Piotr Gawron , Przemysław Głomb , Dariusz Kurzyk

We consider the problem of performing inference with imprecise continuous-time hidden Markov chains, that is, imprecise continuous-time Markov chains that are augmented with random output variables whose distribution depends on the hidden…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

Two typical fixed-length random number generation problems in information theory are considered for general sources. One is the source resolvability problem and the other is the intrinsic randomness problem. In each of these problems, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Ryo Nomura , Hideki Yagi

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are general purpose models for time-series data widely used across the sciences because of their flexibility and elegance. However fitting HMMs can often be computationally demanding and time consuming,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-15 Marnus Stoltz , Gene Stoltz , Kazushige Obara , Ting Wang , David Bryant

A hidden Markov model (HMM) solved recursively by the Viterbi algorithm can be configured to search for persistent, quasimonochromatic gravitational radiation from an isolated or accreting neutron star, whose rotational frequency is unknown…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-09-01 A. Melatos , P. Clearwater , S. Suvorova , L. Sun , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-20 G. Kavitha , A. Udhayakumar , D. Nagarajan

Entropies must correspond to mean values for them to be measurable. The Shannon entropy corresponds to the weighted arithmetic mean, whereas the Renyi entropy corresponds to the exponential mean. These means refer to code lengths, which are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-25 B. H. Lavenda

We propose DenseHMM - a modification of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that allows to learn dense representations of both the hidden states and the observables. Compared to the standard HMM, transition probabilities are not atomic but composed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Joachim Sicking , Maximilian Pintz , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz

The detection of change-points in heterogeneous sequences is a statistical challenge with many applications in fields such as finance, signal analysis and biology. A wide variety of literature exists for finding an ideal set of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-11 The Minh Luong , Vittorio Perduca , Gregory Nuel

Suppose that we observe entries or, more generally, linear combinations of entries of an unknown $m\times T$-matrix $A$ corrupted by noise. We are particularly interested in the high-dimensional setting where the number $mT$ of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Angelika Rohde , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Stochastic and soft optimal policies resulting from entropy-regularized Markov decision processes (ER-MDP) are desirable for exploration and imitation learning applications. Motivated by the fact that such policies are sensitive with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Tien Mai , Patrick Jaillet

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

We study the error introduced by entropy regularization in infinite-horizon discrete discounted Markov decision processes. We show that this error decreases exponentially in the inverse regularization strength, both in a weighted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Johannes Müller , Semih Cayci