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We introduce and treat rigorously a new multi-agent model of the continuous double auction or in other words the order book (OB). It is designed to explain collective behaviour of the market when new information affecting the market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-19 A. Lykov , S. Muzychka , K. Vaninsky

A deterministic system of coupled maps is proposed as a model for economic activity among interacting agents. The values of the maps represent the wealth of the agents. The dynamics of the system is controlled by two parameters. One…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-12-02 J. R. Sanchez , J. Gonzalez-Estevez , R. Lopez-Ruiz , M. G. Cosenza

We study the Proportional Response dynamic in exchange economies, where each player starts with some amount of money and a good. Every day, the players bring one unit of their good and submit bids on goods they like, each good gets…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Simina Brânzei , Nikhil R. Devanur , Yuval Rabani

The \$-Game was recently introduced as an extension of the Minority Game. In this paper we compare this model with the well know Minority Game and the Majority Game models. Due to the inter-temporal nature of the market payoff, we introduce…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 F. F. Ferreira , M. Marsili

We propose a simple stochastic model of market behavior. Dividing market participants into two groups: trend-followers and fundamentalists, we derive the general form of a stochastic equation of market dynamics. The model has two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Guennadi Saiko

Constant and symmetric price impact functions, most commonly used in agent-based market modelling, are shown to give rise to paradoxical and inconsistent outcomes in the simplest case of arbitrage exploitation when open-hold-close actions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Damien Challet

We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-02 Zhentao Shi , Huanhuan Zheng

We review the statistical mechanics approach to the study of the emerging collective behavior of systems of heterogeneous interacting agents. The general framework is presented through examples is such contexts as ecosystem dynamics and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrea De Martino , Matteo Marsili

We consider a one-sided assignment market or exchange network with transferable utility and propose a model for the dynamics of bargaining in such a market. Our dynamical model is local, involving iterative updates of 'offers' based on…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-14 Mohsen Bayati , Christian Borgs , Jennifer Chayes , Yashodhan Kanoria , Andrea Montanari

Increasingly, a huge amount of statistics have been gathered which clearly indicates that income and wealth distributions in various countries or societies follow a robust pattern, close to the Gibbs distribution of energy in an ideal gas…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Arnab Chatterjee , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

In this paper an optimal control problem for a large system of interacting agents is considered using a kinetic perspective. As a prototype model we analyze a microscopic model of opinion formation under constraints. For this problem a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-31 Giacomo Albi , Michael Herty , Lorenzo Pareschi

In this work, an ensemble of economic interacting agents is considered. The agents are arranged in a linear array where only local couplings are allowed. The deterministic dynamics of each agent is given by a map. This map is expressed by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 R. Lopez-Ruiz , J. Gonzalez-Estevez , M. G. Cosenza , J. R. Sanchez

We propose a continuous-time model of trading with heterogeneous beliefs. Risk-neutral agents face quadratic costs-of-carry on positions and thus their marginal valuations decrease with the size of their position, as it would be the case…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-31 Marcel Nutz , José A. Scheinkman

We investigate the unbiased model for money exchanges: agents give at random time a dollar to one another (if they have one). Surprisingly, this dynamics eventually leads to a geometric distribution of wealth (shown empirically by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Fei Cao , Pierre-Emmanuel Jabin

Using the analogy with inelastic granular gasses we introduce a model for wealth exchange in society. The dynamics is governed by a kinetic equation, which allows for self-similar solutions. The scaling function has a power-law tail, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Frantisek Slanina

Securities markets are quintessential complex adaptive systems in which heterogeneous agents compete in an attempt to maximize returns. Species of trading agents are also subject to evolutionary pressure as entire classes of strategies…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-12-23 David Rushing Dewhurst , Yi Li , Alexander Bogdan , Jasmine Geng

A version of the Schelling model on $\mathbb{Z}$ is defined, where two types of agents are allocated on the sites. An agent prefers to be surrounded by other agents of its own type, and may choose to move if this is not the case. It then…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-21 Maria Deijfen , Timo Hirscher

Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their growing popularity and demonstrated predictive accuracy in political…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-29 Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

A microeconomic approach is proposed to derive the fluctuations of risky asset price, where the market participants are modeled as prospect trading agents. As asset price is generated by the temporary equilibrium between demand and supply,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-31 Yipeng Yang , Allanus Tsoi

In this work, we develop an equilibrium model for price formation of securities in a market composed of two populations of different types: the first one consists of cooperative agents, while the other one consists of non-cooperative…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-22 Masaaki Fujii