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We model power grids transporting electricity generated by intermittent renewable sources as complex networks, where line failures can emerge indirectly by noisy power input at the nodes. By combining concepts from statistical physics and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-27 Tommaso Nesti , Alessandro Zocca , Bert Zwart

Cascading failure models are typically used to capture the phenomenon where failures possibly trigger further failures in succession, causing knock-on effects. In many networks this ultimately leads to a disintegrated network where the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-15 Fiona Sloothaak , Sem C. Borst , Bert Zwart

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Power outages caused by extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, can significantly disrupt essential services and delay recovery efforts, underscoring the importance of enhancing our infrastructure's resilience. This study investigates…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Avishek Bose , Sangkeun Lee , Narayan Bhusal , Supriya Chinthavali

The size distribution of planned and forced outages and following restoration times in power systems have been studied for almost two decades and has drawn great interest as they display heavy tails. Understanding of this phenomenon has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Bálint Hartmann , Shengfeng Deng , Géza Ódor , Jeffrey Kelling

For large-scale power networks, the failure of particular transmission lines can offload power to other lines and cause self-protection trips to activate, instigating a cascade of line failures. In extreme cases, this can bring down the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-08 Charles Matthews , Bradly Stadie , Jonathan Weare , Mihai Anitescu , Christopher Demarco

Cascading failure studies help assess and enhance the robustness of power systems against severe power outages. Onset time is a critical parameter in the analysis and management of power system stability and reliability, representing the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-04 Samita Rani Pani , Pallav Kumar Bera , Rajat Kanti Samal

The size distributions of power outages are shown to depend on the stress, or the proximity of the load of an electrical grid to complete breakdown. Using the data for the U.S. between 2002-2017, we show that the outage statistics are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-12 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Lucas Goehring

Inspired by reliability issues in electric transmission networks, we use a probabilistic approach to study the occurrence of large failures in a stylized cascading failure model. In this model, lines have random capacities that initially…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-14 F. Sloothaak , S. C. Borst , A. P. Zwart

Caching at the edge of wireless networks is a keytechnology to reduce traffic in the backhaul link. However, aconcentrated amount of requests during peak-periods may causethe outage of the system, meaning that the network is not ableto…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Estefanía Recayte , Andrea Munari

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

Multiple line outages that occur together show a variety of spatial patterns in the power transmission network. Some of these spatial patterns form network contingency motifs, which we define as the patterns of multiple outages that occur…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-13 Kai Zhou , Ian Dobson , Zhaoyu Wang

Power system blackouts are usually triggered by the initial contingency and then deteriorate as the branch outage spreads quickly. Thus, it is crucial to eliminate the propagation of cascading outages in its infancy. In this paper, a model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Chao Zhai , Hehong Zhang , Gaoxi Xiao , Tso-Chien Pan

We use machine learning tools to model the line interaction of failure cascading in power grid networks. We first collect data sets of simulated trajectories of possible consecutive line failure following an initial random failure and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Abdorasoul Ghasemi , Holger Kantz

Time-based dynamic models of cascading failures have been recognized as one of the most comprehensive methods of representing detailed cascading information and are often used for benchmarking and validation. This paper provides an overview…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-08 Yitian Dai , Robin Preece , Mathaios Panteli

Reliable functioning of infrastructure networks is essential for our modern society. Cascading failures are the cause of most large-scale network outages. Although cascading failures often exhibit dynamical transients, the modeling of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-08-18 Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut , Marc Timme , Vito Latora

To study resilience with real data, it is necessary to group the individual outages recorded by utilities into events in which the outages bunch up and overlap due to extreme weather. We show how to automatically group utility outage data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Recent years have seen a notable increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. With a rising number of power outages caused by these events, accurate prediction of power line outages is essential for safe and reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Xiaolin Chen , Qiuhua Huang , Yuqi Zhou

This paper focuses on cascading line failures in the transmission system of the power grid. Recent large-scale power outages demonstrated the limitations of percolation- and epid- emic-based tools in modeling cascades. Hence, we study…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Saleh Soltan , Dorian Mazauric , Gil Zussman