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Many economic models feature moment conditions that involve latent variables. When the latent variables are individual fixed effects in an auxiliary panel data regression, we construct orthogonal moments that eliminate first-order bias…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-10 Jiaqi Huang

Homophily based on observables is widespread in networks. Therefore, homophily based on unobservables (fixed effects) is also likely to be an important determinant of the interaction outcomes. Failing to properly account for latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-09 Andrei Zeleneev

Estimating long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational and short-term experimental data is a crucial but challenging problem in many real-world scenarios. In existing methods, several ideal assumptions, e.g. latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Ruichu Cai , Junjie Wan , Weilin Chen , Zeqin Yang , Zijian Li , Peng Zhen , Jiecheng Guo

Financial event studies, ubiquitous in finance research, typically use linear factor models with known factors to estimate abnormal returns and identify causal effects of information events. This paper demonstrates that when factor models…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-20 Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , Tianshu Lyu

This study investigates treatment effect estimation in the semi-supervised setting, also can be interpreted as prediction-powered inference. In our setting, we can use not only the standard triple of covariates, treatment indicator, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Masahiro Kato

There is a large literature on semiparametric estimation of average treatment effects under unconfounded treatment assignment in settings with a fixed number of covariates. More recently attention has focused on settings with a large number…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-26 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens , Thai Pham , Stefan Wager

In a meta-analysis, it is important to specify a model that adequately describes the effect-size distribution of the underlying population of studies. The conventional normal fixed-effect and normal random-effects models assume a normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-21 George Karabatsos , Elizabeth Talbott , Stephen G. Walker

This paper introduces a framework to analyze time-varying spillover effects in panel data. We consider panel models where a unit's outcome depends not only on its own characteristics (private effects) but also on the characteristics of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-17 Ryo Okui , Yutao Sun , Wendun Wang

Approximating time-varying unobserved heterogeneity by discrete types has become increasingly popular in economics. Yet, provably valid post-clustering inference for target parameters in models that do not impose an exact group structure is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-20 Jad Beyhum , Martin Mugnier

We develop likelihood-based bias reduction for nonlinear panel models with additive individual and time effects. In two-way panels, integrated-likelihood corrections are attractive but challenging because the required integration is high…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Zizhong Yan , Zhengyu Zhang , Mingli Chen , Jingrong Li , Iván Fernández-Val

For discrete panel data, the dynamic relationship between successive observations is often of interest. We consider a dynamic probit model for short panel data. A problem with estimating the dynamic parameter of interest is that the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-30 Wei Gao , Wicher Bergsma , Qiwei Yao

In nonlinear panel data models, fixed effects methods are often criticized because they cannot identify average marginal effects (AMEs) in short panels. The common argument is that identifying AMEs requires knowledge of the distribution of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-08 Victor Aguirregabiria , Jesus M. Carro

Mixed-effect models are flexible tools for researchers in a myriad of fields, but that flexibility comes at the cost of complexity and if users are not careful in how their model is specified, they could be making faulty inferences from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-28 Keith R. Lohse , Allan J. Kozlowski , Michael J. Strube

Panels with large time $(T)$ and cross-sectional $(N)$ dimensions are a key data structure in social sciences and other fields. A central question in panel data analysis is whether to pool data across individuals or to estimate separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Tim Kutta , Martin Schumann , Holger Dette

We study the nonparametric change point estimation for common changes in the means of panel data. The consistency of estimates is investigated when the number of panels tends to infinity but the sample size remains finite. Our focus is on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Leonid Torgovitski

Panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity in the form of interactive effects standardly assume that the time effects -- or ``common factors'' -- enter linearly. This assumption is restrictive because it concerns an unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Christina Maschmann , Joakim Westerlund

To analyze the uncertain data frequently encountered in practice, this paper proposes novel fixed-effects models that incorporate an uncertain measure to investigate variables of interest and nuisance variables in factor designs. First, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Fan Zhang , Zhiming Li

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Estimating the conditional quantile of the interested variable with respect to changes in the covariates is frequent in many economical applications as it can offer a comprehensive insight. In this paper, we propose a novel semiparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Jing Lv

In this paper, we develop spectral and post-spectral estimators for grouped panel data models. Both estimators are consistent in the asymptotics where the number of observations $N$ and the number of time periods $T$ simultaneously grow…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-02 Denis Chetverikov , Elena Manresa
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