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This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

Longitudinal neuroimaging is essential for modeling disease progression in Alzheimer's disease (AD), yet irregular sampling and missing visits pose substantial challenges for learning reliable temporal representations. To address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ruiying Chen , Yutong Wang , Houliang Zhou , Wei Liang , Yong Chen , Lifang He

Three major biomarkers: beta-amyloid (A), pathologic tau (T), and neurodegeneration (N), are recognized as valid proxies for neuropathologic changes of Alzheimer's disease. While there are extensive studies on cerebrospinal fluids…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-09 Qing Liu , Defu Yang , Jingwen Zhang , Ziming Wei , Guorong Wu , Minghan Chen

Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of disease progression in relation to transcriptomic profiles provides key insights into complex conditions such as Alzheimer disease. To enable such investigations, STARmap PLUS technology offers…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Zitian Wu , Susmita Datta , Arkaprava Roy

We address the problem of estimating how different parts of the brain develop and change throughout the lifespan, and how these trajectories are affected by genetic and environmental factors. Estimation of these lifespan trajectories is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-30 Øystein Sørensen , Kristine B Walhovd , Anders M Fjell

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

A novel framework is proposed for handling the complex task of modelling and analysis of longitudinal, multivariate, heterogeneous clinical data. This method uses temporal abstraction to convert the data into a more appropriate form for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Annette Spooner , Gelareh Mohammadi , Perminder S. Sachdev , Henry Brodaty , Arcot Sowmya

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Normative models in neuroimaging learn the brain patterns of healthy population distribution and estimate how disease subjects like Alzheimer's Disease (AD) deviate from the norm. Existing variational autoencoder (VAE)-based normative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Sayantan Kumar , Philip Payne , Aristeidis Sotiras

We introduce a wide and deep neural network for prediction of progression from patients with mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease. Information from anatomical shape and tabular clinical data (demographics, biomarkers) are fused…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Sebastian Pölsterl , Ignacio Sarasua , Benjamín Gutiérrez-Becker , Christian Wachinger

Temporal networks are widely used models for describing the architecture of complex systems. Network memory -- that is the dependence of a temporal network's structure on its past -- has been shown to play a prominent role in diffusion,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Oliver E. Williams , Lucas Lacasa , Ana P. Millán , Vito Latora

Wearable data is a rich source of information that can provide deeper understanding of links between human behaviours and human health. Existing modelling approaches use wearable data summarized at subject level via scalar summaries using…

Computational models that forecast the progression of Alzheimer's disease at the patient level are extremely useful tools for identifying high risk cohorts for early intervention and treatment planning. The state-of-the-art work in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Surya Teja Devarakonda , Joie Yeahuay Wu , Yi Ren Fung , Madalina Fiterau

Disease progression modeling provides a robust framework to identify long-term disease trajectories from short-term biomarker data. It is a valuable tool to gain a deeper understanding of diseases with a long disease trajectory, such as…

We present generalized additive latent and mixed models (GALAMMs) for analysis of clustered data with responses and latent variables depending smoothly on observed variables. A scalable maximum likelihood estimation algorithm is proposed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-29 Øystein Sørensen , Anders M. Fjell , Kristine B. Walhovd

Human close-range proximity interactions are the key determinant for spreading processes like knowledge diffusion, norm adoption, and infectious disease transmission. These dynamical processes can be modeled with time-respecting paths on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-28 Silvia Guerrini , Ciro Cattuto , Lorenzo Dall'Amico

In this article we focus on dynamic network data which describe interactions among a fixed population through time. We model this data using the latent space framework, in which the probability of a connection forming is expressed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kathryn Turnbull , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Nunes , Tyler McCormick

This study addresses the challenges of symptom evolution complexity and insufficient temporal dependency modeling in Parkinson's disease progression prediction. It proposes a unified prediction framework that integrates structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Jiacheng Hu , Bo Zhang , Ting Xu , Haifeng Yang , Min Gao

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu