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Data sets for statistical analysis become extremely large even with some difficulty of being stored on one single machine. Even when the data can be stored in one machine, the computational cost would still be intimidating. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-18 Ya Su

We propose a fast algorithm for the probabilistic solution of boundary value problems (BVPs), which are ordinary differential equations subject to boundary conditions. In contrast to previous work, we introduce a Gauss--Markov prior and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

In this paper we investigate the computational complexity of solving ordinary differential equations (ODEs) $y^{\prime}=p(y)$ over \emph{unbounded time domains}, where $p$ is a vector of polynomials. Contrarily to the bounded (compact) time…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2017-01-18 Amaury Pouly , Daniel S. Graça

We develop a novel method for carrying out model selection for Bayesian autoencoders (BAEs) by means of prior hyper-parameter optimization. Inspired by the common practice of type-II maximum likelihood optimization and its equivalence to…

Diffusion probabilistic models generate samples by learning to reverse a noise-injection process that transforms data into noise. A key development is the reformulation of the reverse sampling process as a deterministic probability flow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Zhengjiang Lin

Score-based generative modeling with probability flow ordinary differential equations (ODEs) has achieved remarkable success in a variety of applications. While various fast ODE-based samplers have been proposed in the literature and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

This work addresses data-driven inverse optimization (IO), where the goal is to estimate unknown parameters in an optimization model from observed decisions that can be assumed to be optimal or near-optimal solutions to the optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Yen-An Lu , Wei-Shou Hu , Joel A. Paulson , Qi Zhang

Bayesian inference is known to provide a general framework for incorporating prior knowledge or specific properties into machine learning models via carefully choosing a prior distribution. In this work, we propose a new type of prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-20 Andrei Atanov , Arsenii Ashukha , Kirill Struminsky , Dmitry Vetrov , Max Welling

This paper is concerned with the theoretical and computational development of a new class of nonlinear filtering algorithms called the optimal transport particle filters (OTPF). The algorithm is based on a recently introduced variational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Mohammad Al-Jarrah , Bamdad Hosseini , Amirhossein Taghvaei

The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Oksana Chkrebtii , T. J. Sullivan , Chris. J. Oates

We conduct a preliminary analysis of a pairs trading strategy using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process to model stock price spreads. We compare this approach to a naive pairs trading strategy that uses a rolling window to calculate mean…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Jirat Suchato , Sean Wiryadi , Danran Chen , Ava Zhao , Michael Yue

An initial screening experiment may lead to ambiguous conclusions regarding the factors which are active in explaining the variation of an outcome variable: thus adding follow-up runs becomes necessary. We propose a fully Bayes objective…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Guido Consonni , Laura Deldossi

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) are influential generative models with rich representation capabilities from the deep neural network architecture and Bayesian method. However, VAE models have a weakness that assign a higher likelihood to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Xuming Ran , Mingkun Xu , Lingrui Mei , Qi Xu , Quanying Liu

We establish global Schauder estimates for integro-partial differential equations (IPDE) driven by a possibly degenerate L\'evy Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operator, both in the elliptic and parabolic setting, using some suitable anisotropic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Lorenzo Marino

In image reconstruction, an accurate quantification of uncertainty is of great importance for informed decision making. Here, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems can be used: the image is represented through a random function that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Gradient matching with Gaussian processes is a promising tool for learning parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODE's). The essence of gradient matching is to model the prior over state variables as a Gaussian process which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-25 Nico S. Gorbach , Stefan Bauer , Joachim M. Buhmann

Ordinary and partial differential equations (ODEs/PDEs) play a paramount role in analyzing and simulating complex dynamic processes across all corners of science and engineering. In recent years machine learning tools are aspiring to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Sifan Wang , Paris Perdikaris

To combine a feedforward neural network (FNN) and Lie group (symmetry) theory of differential equations (DEs), an alternative artificial NN approach is proposed to solve the initial value problems (IVPs) of ordinary DEs (ODEs). Introducing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Ying Wen , Temuer Chaolu , Xiangsheng Wang

We introduce a family of implicit probabilistic integrators for initial value problems (IVPs), taking as a starting point the multistep Adams-Moulton method. The implicit construction allows for dynamic feedback from the forthcoming…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-19 Onur Teymur , Han Cheng Lie , Tim Sullivan , Ben Calderhead

The aim of this short note is to show that Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model DDPM, a non-homogeneous discrete-time Markov process, can be represented by a time-homogeneous continuous-time Markov process observed at non-uniformly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-30 Javier E. Santos , Yen Ting Lin