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Multi-fidelity Kriging model is a promising technique in surrogate-based design as it can balance the model accuracy and cost of sample preparation by fusing low- and high-fidelity data. However, the cost for building a multi-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Youwei He , Jinliang Luo

Kriging-based surrogate models have become very popular during the last decades to approximate a computer code output from few simulations. In practical applications, it is very common to sequentially add new simulations to obtain more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-31 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela

In many practical cases, a sensitivity analysis or an optimization of a complex time consuming computer code requires to build a fast running approximation of it - also called surrogate model. We consider in this paper the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-14 Loic Le Gratiet

Composite materials exhibit strongly hierarchical and anisotropic properties governed by coupled mechanisms spanning constituents, plies, laminates, structures, and manufacturing history. This intrinsic complexity makes predictive modeling…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Haizhou Wen , Elham Kiyani , Gang Li , Srikanth Pilla , George Em Karniadakis , Zhen Li

This paper presents a wind farm layout optimization framework that integrates polynomial chaos expansion, a Kriging model, and the expected improvement algorithm. The proposed framework addresses the computational challenges associated with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Yi-Xiao Shao , Zhen-Fan Wang , Shine Win Naung , Kai Zhang , Yufeng Yao , Dai Zhou

The computational effort for the evaluation of numerical simulations based on e.g. the finite-element method is high. Metamodels can be utilized to create a low-cost alternative. However the number of required samples for the creation of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Jan N. Fuhg

High-dimensional complex multi-parameter problems are prevalent in engineering, exceeding the capabilities of traditional surrogate models designed for low/medium-dimensional problems. These models face the curse of dimensionality,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 Yili Zhang , Hanyan Huang , Mei Xiong , Zengquan Yao

In reliability engineering, conventional surrogate models encounter the "curse of dimensionality" as the number of random variables increases. While the active learning Kriging surrogate approaches with high-dimensional model representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Wenxiong Li , Hanyu Liao , Suiyin Chen

Modern container ships face higher wind loads due to increased windage areas, making accurate predictions of wind loads essential for mooring design. Existing empirical models, largely developed for container ships with smaller windage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Matilde Fiore , Andrea Bresciani , Miguel Alfonso Mendez , Jeroen van Beeck

Existing active strategies for training surrogate models yield accurate structural reliability estimates by aiming at design space regions in the vicinity of a specified limit state function. In many practical engineering applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 J. Moran A. , P. G. Morato , P. Rigo

Aerodynamic shape optimization in industry still faces challenges related to robustness and scalability. This aspect becomes crucial for advanced optimizations that rely on expensive high-fidelity flow solvers, where computational budget…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-26 Marc Schouler , Anca Belme , Paola Cinnella

Computer experiments have become an indispensable alternative to complex physical and engineering experiments. The Kriging model is the most widely used surrogate model, with the core goal of minimizing the discrepancy between the surrogate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Ruonan Zheng , Min-Qian Liu , Yongdao Zhou , Xuan Chen

Estimating the probability of failure for complex real-world systems using high-fidelity computational models is often prohibitively expensive, especially when the probability is small. Exploiting low-fidelity models can make this process…

Engineering design involves demanding models encompassing many decision variables and uncontrollable parameters. In addition, unavoidable aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties can be very impactful and add further complexity. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-27 Enrico Ampellio , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

Surrogate modeling is an essential data-driven technique for quantifying relationships between input variables and system responses in manufacturing and engineering systems. Two major challenges limit its effectiveness: (1) large data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Manan Mehta , Zhiqiao Dong , Yuhang Yang , Chenhui Shao

Optimal design under uncertainty has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows the analyst…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-13 V. Dubourg , J. -M. Bourinet , B. Sudret

In the context of optimization approaches to engineering applications, time-consuming simulations are often utilized which can be configured to deliver solutions for various levels of accuracy, commonly referred to as different fidelity…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Sander van Rijn , Sebastian Schmitt , Matthijs van Leeuwen , Thomas Bäck

This paper considers the surrogate modeling of a complex numerical code in a multifidelity framework when the code output is a time series. Using an experimental design of the low-and high-fidelity code levels, an original Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Baptiste Kerleguer

We present a new surrogate model for emulating the behavior of complex nonlinear dynamical systems with external stochastic excitation. The model represents the system dynamics in state space form through a sparse Kriging model. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Kai Chenga , Iason Papaioannoua , MengZe Lyub , Daniel Straub

Active multi-fidelity surrogate modeling is developed for multi-condition airfoil shape optimization to reduce high-fidelity CFD cost while retaining RANS-level accuracy. The framework couples a low-fidelity-informed Gaussian process…

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