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A new standard is proposed for the evidential assessment of replication studies. The approach combines a specific reverse-Bayes technique with prior-predictive tail probabilities to define replication success. The method gives rise to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Leonhard Held

Testing differences between a treatment and control group is common practice in biomedical research like randomized controlled trials (RCT). The standard two-sample t-test relies on null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) via p-values,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-18 Riko Kelter

Randomization inference is a widely-used and appealing approach for analyzing treatment effects in randomized experiments, as it is finite-sample valid and does not require any distributional assumptions. However, naive application of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Xinran Li , Peizan Sheng , Zeyang Yu

In contrast to its common definition and calculation, interpretation of p-values diverges among statisticians. Since p-value is the basis of various methodologies, this divergence has led to a variety of test methodologies and evaluations…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-27 Tomokazu Konishi

The p-values are often implicitly used as a measure of evidence for the hypotheses of the tests. This practice has been analyzed with different approaches. It is generally accepted for the one-sided hypothesis problem, but it is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Guy Morel

While well-established methods for time-to-event data are available when the proportional hazards assumption holds, there is no consensus on the best inferential approach under non-proportional hazards (NPH). However, a wide range of…

The usual procedure for estimating the significance of a peak in a power spectrum is to calculate the probability of obtaining that value or a larger value by chance (known as the "p-value"), on the assumption that the time series contains…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2009-11-13 P. A. Sturrock , J. D. Scargle

Analysis of credibility is a reverse-Bayes technique that has been proposed by Matthews (2001) to overcome some of the shortcomings of significance tests. A significant result is deemed credible if current knowledge about the effect size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-11 Leonhard Held

A popular approach to significance testing proposes to decide whether the given hypothesized statistical model is likely to be true (or false). Statistical decision theory provides a basis for this approach by requiring every significance…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-08 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

A recurring debate in the philosophy of statistics concerns what, exactly, should count as a measure of evidence for or against a given hypothesis. P-values, likelihood ratios, and Bayes factors all have their defenders. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas , Peter Grünwald

Our purpose, is to put forward a change in the paradigm of testing by generalizing a very natural idea exposed by Morris DeGroot (1975) aiming to an approach that is attractive to all schools of statistics, in a procedure better suited for…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-02 Luis Pericchi , Carlos Pereira

Given the well-known and fundamental problems with hypothesis testing via classical (point-form) significance tests, there has been a general move to alternative approaches, often focused on the Bayesian t-test. We show that the Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

As increasingly complex hypothesis-testing scenarios are considered in many scientific fields, analytic derivation of null distributions is often out of reach. To the rescue comes Monte Carlo testing, which may appear deceptively simple: as…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-13 Egil Ferkingstad , Lars Holden , Geir Kjetil Sandve

This paper re-visits the problem of deciding between two simple hypotheses, the setting considered by Neyman and Pearson in developing their fundamental lemma. It studies the decision process induced by the most powerful test and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Edsel A. Pena

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

In genetic association studies, detecting disease-genotype associations is a primary goal. For most diseases, the underlying genetic model is unknown, and we study seven robust test statistics for monotone association. For a given test…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-13 Mette Langaas , Øyvind Bakke

Modern statistics provides an ever-expanding toolkit for estimating unknown parameters. Consequently, applied statisticians frequently face a difficult decision: retain a parameter estimate from a familiar method or replace it with an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-20 Brian L. Trippe , Sameer K. Deshpande , Tamara Broderick

In response to growing concern about the reliability and reproducibility of published science, researchers have proposed adopting measures of greater statistical stringency, including suggestions to require larger sample sizes and to lower…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

This paper is about how we study statistical methods. As an example, it uses the random regressions model, in which the intercept and slope of cluster-specific regression lines are modeled as a bivariate random effect. Maximizing this…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-05-22 James S. Hodges

When conducting large scale inference, such as genome-wide association studies or image analysis, nominal $p$-values are often adjusted to improve control over the family-wise error rate (FWER). When the majority of tests are null,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-20 Sarah Fletcher Mercaldo , Jeffrey D. Blume
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