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We introduce and discuss a general criterion for the derivative pricing in the general situation of incomplete markets, we refer to it as the No Almost Sure Arbitrage Principle. This approach is based on the theory of optimal strategy in…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-10 E. Aurell , R. Baviera , O. Hammarlid , M. Serva , A. Vulpiani

The goal of this note is to provide a geometric setting in which generalized arithmetic means are best predictors in an appropriate metric. This characterization provides a geometric interpretation to the concept of certainty equivalent.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Henryk Gzyl

We consider the problem of computing upper and lower bounds on the price of a European basket call option, given prices on other similar baskets. Although this problem is very hard to solve exactly in the general case, we show that in some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Alexandre d'Aspremont , Laurent El Ghaoui

Farkas' Lemma is a foundational result in linear programming, with implications in duality, optimality conditions, and stochastic and bilevel programming. Its generalizations are known as theorems of the alternative. There exist theorems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Temitayo Ajayi , Varun Suriyanarayana , Andrew J. Schaefer

We study resource allocation in two-sided markets from a fundamental perspective and introduce a general modeling and algorithmic framework to effectively incorporate the complex and multidimensional aspects of fairness. Our main technical…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Javier Cembrano , Andrés Moraga , Victor Verdugo

In markets where algorithmic data processing is increasingly prevalent, recommendation algorithms can substantially affect trade and welfare. We consider a setting in which an algorithm recommends a product based on its value to the buyer…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-17 Shota Ichihashi , Alex Smolin

The relative arbitrage portfolio outperforms a benchmark portfolio over a given time-horizon with probability one. With market price of risk processes depending on the market portfolio and investors, this paper analyzes the multi-agent…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-23 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Nicole Tianjiao Yang

The combination of the Bayesian game and learning has a rich history, with the idea of controlling a single agent in a system composed of multiple agents with unknown behaviors given a set of types, each specifying a possible behavior for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Tongxin Li , Tinashe Handina , Shaolei Ren , Adam Wierman

Betting games provide a natural setting to capture how information yields strategic advantage. The Kelly criterion for betting, long a cornerstone of portfolio theory and information theory, admits an interpretation in the limit of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-15 Maite Arcos , Renato Renner , Jonathan Oppenheim

A stock market is called diverse if no stock can dominate the market in terms of relative capitalization. On one hand, this natural property leads to arbitrage in diffusion models under mild assumptions. On the other hand, it is also easy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-26 Attila Herczegh , Vilmos Prokaj , Miklós Rásonyi

In the paper we study markets with concave transaction costs which depend in a concave way on the volume of transaction. This is typical situation in the case of small investors, which commonly appears in currency and real estate markets.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 A. Rygiel , L. Stettner

We study a sequential decision-making model where a set of items is repeatedly matched to the same set of agents over multiple rounds. The objective is to determine a sequence of matchings that either maximizes the utility of the least…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Eugene Lim , Tzeh Yuan Neoh , Nicholas Teh

Dealing with quadratic payments, marginal probability is usually considered ideally constant, maybe for the sake of initial simplicity. Considering the voting scenario depicted in "Quadratic Payments: A Primer" by Vitalik Buterin, firstly…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Andrea Barontini

This paper studies relative arbitrage opportunities in a market with competitive investors through stochastic differential games in the limit as the number of players tends to infinity. With common noises introduced by the stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Nicole Tianjiao Yang , Tomoyuki Ichiba

Caratheodory's axiom of adiabatic inaccessibility states that, in any neighborhood of a thermodynamic state, certain states remain unreachable via adiabatic processes. Non-arbitrage mirrors this topological restriction in finance.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-19 B. K. Meister

This paper examines the implementation of a statistical arbitrage trading strategy based on co-integration relationships where we discover candidate portfolios using multiple factors rather than just price data. The portfolio selection…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-13 Wenbin Zhang , Zhen Dai , Bindu Pan , Milan Djabirov

The recent explosion in the amount and dimensionality of data has exacerbated the need of trading off computational and statistical efficiency carefully, so that inference is both tractable and meaningful. We propose a framework that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-29 Daniel L. Sussman , Alexander Volfovsky , Edoardo M. Airoldi

We present a structural approach toward achieving equal opportunity in systems of algorithmic decision-making called algorithmic pluralism. Algorithmic pluralism describes a state of affairs in which no set of algorithms severely limits…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Shomik Jain , Vinith Suriyakumar , Kathleen Creel , Ashia Wilson

We consider the estimation of binary election outcomes as martingales and propose an arbitrage pricing when one continuously updates estimates. We argue that the estimator needs to be priced as a binary option as the arbitrage valuation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The game in which acts of participants don't have an adequate description in terms of Boolean logic and classical theory of probabilities is considered. The model of the game interaction is constructed on the basis of a non-distributive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrey Grib , Georges Parfionov
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