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The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is widely used for data assimilation in high-dimensional systems, but its performance often deteriorates for strongly nonlinear dynamics due to the structural mismatch between the Kalman update and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Xin T. Tong , Yanyan Wang , Liang Yan

The input-parameter-state estimation capabilities of a novel unscented Kalman filter is examined herein on both linear and nonlinear systems. The unknown input is estimated in two stages within each time step. Firstly, the predicted dynamic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-05 Marios Impraimakis , Andrew W. Smyth

The estimation of equations from data is of interest in physics. One of the famous methods is the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy), which utilizes sparse estimation techniques to estimate equations from data. Recently, a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Yuki Tahara , Kakutaro Fukushi , Shunta Takahashi , Kayo Kinjo , Jun Ohkubo

For many applications it is critical to know the uncertainty of a neural network's predictions. While a variety of neural network parameter estimation methods have been proposed for uncertainty estimation, they have not been rigorously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Nabeel Seedat , Christopher Kanan

Ensemble Kalman Filtering (EnKF) is a popular technique for data assimilation, with far ranging applications. However, the vanilla EnKF framework is not well-defined when perturbations are nonlinear. We study two non-linear extensions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-24 Zachariah Malik , Romit Maulik

The real-world applications in signal processing generally involve estimating the system state or parameters in nonlinear, non-Gaussian dynamic systems. The estimation problem may get even more challenging when there are physical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-15 Nesrine Amor , Ghulam Rasool , Nidhal C. Bouaynaya

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Liliang Wang , Alex Gorodetsky

Some system identification problems impose nonnegativity constraints on the parameters to estimate due to inherent physical characteristics of the unknown system. The nonnegative least-mean-square (NNLMS) algorithm and its variants allow to…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-08-25 Jingen Ni , Jian Yang , Jie Chen , Cédric Richard , José Carlos M. Bermudez

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

We consider continuous-time sparse stochastic processes from which we have only a finite number of noisy/noiseless samples. Our goal is to estimate the noiseless samples (denoising) and the signal in-between (interpolation problem). By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Arash Amini , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , Emrah Bostan , Michael Unser

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

In this letter, we employ and design the expectation--conditional maximization either (ECME) algorithm, a generalisation of the EM algorithm, for solving the maximum likelihood direction finding problem of stochastic sources, which may be…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Ming-yan Gong , Bin Lyu

Nanomechanical resonant sensors are used in mass spectrometry via detection of resonance frequency jumps. There is a fundamental trade-off between detection speed and accuracy. Temporal and size resolution are limited by the resonator…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2024-01-17 Mete Erdogan , Nuri Berke Baytekin , Serhat Emre Coban , Alper Demir

The classical sparse parameter identification methods are usually based on the iterative basis selection such as greedy algorithms, or the numerical optimization of regularized cost functions such as LASSO and Bayesian posterior probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Yanxin Fu , Wenxiao Zhao

In this paper, we consider the task of designing a Kalman Filter (KF) for an unknown and partially observed autonomous linear time invariant system driven by process and sensor noise. To do so, we propose studying the following two step…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-14 Anastasios Tsiamis , Nikolai Matni , George J. Pappas

The transition density of a stochastic, logistic population growth model with multiplicative intrinsic noise is analytically intractable. Inferring model parameter values by fitting such stochastic differential equation (SDE) models to data…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-17 Jonathan Heydari , Conor Lawless , David A. Lydall , Darren J. Wilkinson

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

Single Particle Tracking (SPT) is a powerful class of tools for analyzing the dynamics of individual biological macromolecules moving inside living cells. The acquired data is typically in the form of a sequence of camera images that are…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-23 Ye Lin , Sean B. Andersson
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