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Related papers: Bayesian nonparametric inference for the M/G/1 que…

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Markov jump processes and continuous time Bayesian networks are important classes of continuous time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of inferring unobserved paths in these models by introducing a fast auxiliary…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-20 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

The paper deals with a sharing economy system with various management factors by using a bulk input G/M/1 type queuing model. The effective management of operating costs is vital for controlling the sharing economy platform and this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-24 Song-Kyoo Kim , Chan Yeob Yeun

A single queueing system with time-dependent exponentially distributed arrival processes and exponential machine processes (Kendall notation $M_t/M_t/1$) is analyzed. Modeling the time evolution for the discrete queue-length distribution by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Dieter Armbruster , Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

We consider the problem of flexible modeling of higher order hidden Markov models when the number of latent states and the nature of the serial dependence, including the true order, are unknown. We propose Bayesian nonparametric methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-06 Abhra Sarkar , David B. Dunson

We describe an approach for identifying groups of dynamically similar locations in spatial time-series data based on a simple Markov transition model. We give maximum-likelihood, empirical Bayes, and fully Bayesian formulations of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-24 Edward B. Baskerville , Trevor Bedford , Robert C. Reiner , Mercedes Pascual

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

We study the stationary sojourn time distribution in an M/G/1 queue operating under heavy traffic. It is known that the sojourn time converges to an exponential distribution in the limit. Our focus is on obtaining pre-asymptotic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Bihan Chatterjee , Siva Theja Maguluri , Debankur Mukherjee

This paper examines a discrete-time queuing system with applications to telecommunications traffic. The arrival process is a particular Markov modulated process which belongs to the class of discrete batched Markovian arrival processes. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Richard G. Clegg

We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

This paper considers the mean waiting times in discrete-time preemptive-resume and nonpreemptive priority single-server queues fed by K independent batch Markovian arrival streams with geometrically distributed idle periods. While being…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Tetsuya Takine

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

There is a well-established theory linking certain semi-Markov chains and continuous-time random walks to time-fractional equations and anomalous diffusion. In this work, we go beyond the semi-Markov framework by considering some…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Lorenzo Facciaroni , Costantino Ricciuti , Enrico Scalas

We propose a generalization of the classical M/M/1 queue process. The resulting model is derived by applying fractional derivative operators to a system of difference-differential equations. This generalization includes both non-Markovian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Dexter O. Cahoy , Federico Polito , Vir V. Phoha

Spatio-temporal hidden Markov models are extremely difficult to estimate because their latent joint distributions are available only in trivial cases. In the estimation phase, these latent distributions are usually substituted with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Daniele Tancini , Riccardo Rastelli , Francesco Bartolucci

The growth of Machine-Type Communication (MTC) increases the relevance of queuing scenarios with deterministic service times. In this letter, we present a model for queues without waiting lines and with degenerate service time distributions…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-09-10 René Brandborg Sørensen , Jimmy Jessen Nielsen , Petar Popovski

We consider the modeling of data generated by a latent continuous-time Markov jump process with a state space of finite but unknown dimensions. Typically in such models, the number of states has to be pre-specified, and Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens

In this article a flexible Bayesian non-parametric model is proposed for non-homogeneous hidden Markov models. The model is developed through the amalgamation of the ideas of hidden Markov models and predictor dependent stick-breaking…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-10 Abhra Sarkar , Anindya Bhadra , Bani K. Mallick

We consider the analysis of sets of categorical sequences consisting of piecewise homogeneous Markov segments. The sequences are assumed to be governed by a common underlying process with segments occurring in the same order for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-08 Petter Arnesen , Tracy Holsclaw , Padhraic Smyth

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij