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Large Internet video delivery systems serve millions of videos to tens of millions of users on daily basis, via Video-on-Demand and live streaming. Video popularity evolves over time. It represents the workload, as welll as business value,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Jiqiang Wu , Yipeng Zhou , Dah Ming Chiu , Youwei Hua , Zirong Zhu

Understanding the factors that impact the popularity dynamics of social media can drive the design of effective information services, besides providing valuable insights to content generators and online advertisers. Taking YouTube as case…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-20 Flavio Figueiredo , Jussara M. Almeida , Marcos André Gonçalves , Fabrício Benevenuto

This paper proposes a new prediction process to explain and predict popularity evolution of YouTube videos. We exploit our recent study on the classification of YouTube videos in order to predict the evolution of videos' view-count. This…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-07-31 Cedric Richier , Rachid Elazouzi , Tania Jimenez , Eitan Altman , Georges Linares

Mathematical models are validated against empirical data, while examining potential indicators for an online video that went viral. We revisit some concepts of infectious disease modeling (e.g. reproductive number) and we comment on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-02-17 Ariel Cintron-Arias

Online popularity has enormous impact on opinions, culture, policy, and profits. We provide a quantitative, large scale, temporal analysis of the dynamics of online content popularity in two massive model systems, the Wikipedia and an…

In this work, we propose a regression method to predict the popularity of an online video based on temporal and visual cues. Our method uses Support Vector Regression with Gaussian Radial Basis Functions. We show that modelling popularity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-02 Tomasz Trzcinski , Przemyslaw Rokita

What makes content go viral? Which videos become popular and why others don't? Such questions have elicited significant attention from both researchers and industry, particularly in the context of online media. A range of models have been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Quyu Kong , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Siqi Wu , Lexing Xie

This paper presents a systematic online prediction method (Social-Forecast) that is capable to accurately forecast the popularity of videos promoted by social media. Social-Forecast explicitly considers the dynamically changing and evolving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Jie Xu , Mihaela van der Schaar , Jiangchuan Liu , Haitao Li

Modeling the popularity dynamics of an online item is an important open problem in computational social science. This paper presents an in-depth study of popularity dynamics under external promotions, especially in predicting popularity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-03-23 Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Popularity bias is a long-standing challenge in recommender systems. Such a bias exerts detrimental impact on both users and item providers, and many efforts have been dedicated to studying and solving such a bias. However, most existing…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Ziwei Zhu , Yun He , Xing Zhao , James Caverlee

This paper presents a data-driven mean-field approach to model the popularity dynamics of users seeking public attention, i.e., influencers. We propose a novel analytical model that integrates individual activity patterns, expertise in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Franco Galante , Chiara Ravazzi , Luca Vassio , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

We present a detailed study of the part of the Web related to media content, i.e., the Media Web. Using publicly available data, we analyze the evolution of incoming and outgoing links from and to media pages. Based on our observations, we…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2013-08-02 Damien Lefortier , Liudmila Ostroumova , Egor Samosvat

Just as user preferences change with time, item reviews also reflect those same preference changes. In a nutshell, if one is to sequentially incorporate review content knowledge into recommender systems, one is naturally led to dynamical…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Kostadin Cvejoski , Ramses J. Sanchez , Christian Bauckhage , Cesar Ojeda

Social scientists have long sought to understand why certain people, items, or options become more popular than others. One seemingly intuitive theory is that inherent value drives popularity. An alternative theory claims that popularity is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-02 Peter Krafft , Julia Zheng , Erez Shmueli , Nicolás Della Penna , Josh Tenenbaum , Sandy Pentland

Popularity dynamics in social media depend on a complex interplay of social influence between users and popularity-based recommendations that are provided by the platforms. In this work, we introduce a discrete-time dynamical system to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Gaya Cocca , Paolo Frasca , Chiara Ravazzi

Popularity in social media is an important objective for professional users (e.g. companies, celebrities, and public figures, etc). A simple yet prominent metric utilized to measure the popularity of a user is the number of fans or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-08 Samin Mohammadi , Reza Farahbakhsh , Noel Crespi

Most news recommender systems try to identify users' interests and news' attributes and use them to obtain recommendations. Here we propose an adaptive model which combines similarities in users' rating patterns with epidemic-like spreading…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2009-11-13 Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Tao Zhou

An ability to predict the popularity dynamics of individual items within a complex evolving system has important implications in a wide range of domains. Here we propose a deep learning attention mechanism to model the process through which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Sha Yuan , Yu Zhang , Jie Tang , Huawei Shen , Xingxing Wei

With the continuous increase of internet usage in todays time, everyone is influenced by this source of the power of technology. Due to this, the rise of applications and games Is unstoppable. A major percentage of our population uses these…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Vandit Gupta , Akshit Diwan , Chaitanya Chadha , Ashish Khanna , Deepak Gupta

In this paper, we address the problem of popularity prediction of online videos shared in social media. We prove that this challenging task can be approached using recently proposed deep neural network architectures. We cast the popularity…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-07-24 Tomasz Trzcinski , Pawel Andruszkiewicz , Tomasz Bochenski , Przemyslaw Rokita
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