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Gaussian processes are popular and flexible models for spatial, temporal, and functional data, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. We discuss Gaussian-process approximations that use basis functions at multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Wenlong Gong

In this paper we present a novel analysis of variance Gaussian process (ANOVA-GP) emulator for models governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with high-dimensional random inputs. Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used surrogate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Chen Chen , Qifeng Liao

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

Challenges in multi-fidelity modeling relate to accuracy, uncertainty estimation and high-dimensionality. A novel additive structure is introduced in which the highest fidelity solution is written as a sum of the lowest fidelity solution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Wei W. Xing , Akeel A. Shah , Peng Wang , Shandian Zhe Qian Fu , Robert. M. Kirby

Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

Multi-output regression problems are commonly encountered in science and engineering. In particular, multi-output Gaussian processes have been emerged as a promising tool for modeling these complex systems since they can exploit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Cen-You Li , Barbara Rakitsch , Christoph Zimmer

We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Martin Jankowiak , Jacob Gardner

The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

Gaussian graphical regression is a powerful means that regresses the precision matrix of a Gaussian graphical model on covariates, permitting the numbers of the response variables and covariates to far exceed the sample size. Model fitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Jingfei Zhang , Yi Li

Approximation algorithms are widely used in many engineering problems. To obtain a data set for approximation a factorial design of experiments is often used. In such case the size of the data set can be very large. Therefore, one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-04 Mikhail Belyaev , Evgeny Burnaev , Yermek Kapushev

Functional data analysis is becoming increasingly popular to study data from real-valued random functions. Nevertheless, there is a lack of multiple testing procedures for such data. These are particularly important in factorial designs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Merle Munko , Marc Ditzhaus , Markus Pauly , Łukasz Smaga

Complex computer codes are widely used in science to model physical systems. Sensitivity analysis aims to measure the contributions of the inputs on the code output variability. An efficient tool to perform such analysis are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Gaëlle Chastaing , Loic Le Gratiet

We study in this paper two classes of experimental designs, support points and projected support points, which can provide robust and effective emulation of computer experiments with Gaussian processes. These designs have two important…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Simon Mak , V. Roshan Joseph

We consider evidence integration from potentially dependent observation processes under varying spatio-temporal sampling resolutions and noise levels. We develop a multi-resolution multi-task (MRGP) framework while allowing for both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-06 Oliver Hamelijnck , Theodoros Damoulas , Kangrui Wang , Mark Girolami

Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this problem consists in replacing cpu-time expensive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

We propose a practical and scalable Gaussian process model for large-scale nonlinear probabilistic regression. Our mixture-of-experts model is conceptually simple and hierarchically recombines computations for an overall approximation of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-10 Jun Wei Ng , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful probabilistic modeling technique with built-in uncertainty quantification. When one has access to multiple correlated simulations (tasks), it is common to fit a multitask GP (MTGP) surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-18 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Pieterjan Robbe , Fred J. Hickernell

A Gaussian process has been one of the important approaches for emulating computer simulations. However, the stationarity assumption for a Gaussian process and the intractability for large-scale dataset limit its availability in practice.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Chih-Li Sung , Benjamin Haaland , Youngdeok Hwang , Siyuan Lu

Scalable surrogate models enable efficient emulation of computer models (or simulators), particularly when dealing with large ensembles of runs. While Gaussian process (GP) models are commonly employed for emulation, they face limitations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Grant Hutchings , Derek Bingham , Kellin Rumsey , Earl Lawrence
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