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We develop and analyze $M$-estimation methods for divergence functionals and the likelihood ratios of two probability distributions. Our method is based on a non-asymptotic variational characterization of $f$-divergences, which allows the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-18 XuanLong Nguyen , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Automatic algorithms attempt to provide approximate solutions that differ from exact solutions by no more than a user-specified error tolerance. This paper describes an automatic, adaptive algorithm for approximating the solution to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Yuhan Ding , Fred J. Hickernell , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama

We consider the convolution model where i.i.d. random variables $X_i$ having unknown density $f$ are observed with additive i.i.d. noise, independent of the $X$'s. We assume that the density $f$ belongs to either a Sobolev class or a class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea

Factor analysis, a classical multivariate statistical technique is popularly used as a fundamental tool for dimensionality reduction in statistics, econometrics and data science. Estimation is often carried out via the Maximum Likelihood…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Koulik Khamaru , Rahul Mazumder

Varying coefficient models are widely used to characterize dynamic associations between longitudinal outcomes and covariates. Existing work on varying coefficient models, however, all assumes that observation times are independent of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Yu Gu , Yangjianchen Xu , Peijun Sang

We consider the problem of estimating the value of a linear functional in nonparametric instrumental regression, where in the presence of an instrument W a response Y is modeled in dependence of an endogenous explanatory variable Z. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-13 Christoph Breunig , Jan Johannes

Traditional models of active learning assume a learner can directly manipulate or query a covariate $X$ in order to study its relationship with a response $Y$. However, if $X$ is a feature of a complex system, it may be possible only to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Shashank Singh

In this work, we will investigate a Bayesian approach to estimating the parameters of long memory models. Long memory, characterized by the phenomenon of hyperbolic autocorrelation decay in time series, has garnered significant attention.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Clara Grazian

Regression on observational data can fail to capture a causal relationship in the presence of unobserved confounding. Confounding strength measures this mismatch, but estimating it requires itself additional assumptions. A common assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-04 Luca Rendsburg , Leena Chennuru Vankadara , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar , Ulrike von Luxburg

Memory effects are ubiquitous in small-scale systems. They emerge from interactions between accessible and inaccessible degrees of freedom and give rise to evolution equations that are non-local in time. If the characteristic time scales of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-22 Kay Brandner

We present a semi-supervised learning algorithm for learning discrete factor analysis models with arbitrary structure on the latent variables. Our algorithm assumes that every latent variable has an "anchor", an observed variable with only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-12 Yoni Halpern , Steven Horng , David Sontag

We study asymptotic properties of $M$-estimates of regression parameters in linear models in which errors are dependent. Weak and strong Bahadur representations of the $M$-estimates are derived and a central limit theorem is established.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Wei Biao Wu

For linear time-invariant systems with uncertain parameters belonging to a finite set, we present a purely deterministic approach to multiple-model estimation and propose an algorithm based on the minimax criterion using constrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Olle Kjellqvist , Anders Rantzer

We derive minimax adaptive rates for a new, broad class of Tikhonov-regularized learning problems in Hilbert scales under general source conditions. Our analysis does not require the regression function to be contained in the hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Prem Talwai , David Simchi-Levi

Sequence models face a fundamental tradeoff between memory capacity and computational efficiency. Transformers achieve expressive context modeling at quadratic cost, while linear attention and state-space models run in linear time by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Yaxita Amin , Helen Zichen Li , Mengfan Zhang , Samet Ayhan

We consider the estimation of approximate factor models for time series data, where strong serial and cross-sectional correlations amongst the idiosyncratic component are present. This setting comes up naturally in many applications, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

The minimax theory for estimating linear functionals is extended to the case of a finite union of convex parameter spaces. Upper and lower bounds for the minimax risk can still be described in terms of a modulus of continuity. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

We propose a functional accelerated failure time model to characterize effects of both functional and scalar covariates on the time to event of interest, and provide regularity conditions to guarantee model identifiability. For efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Changyu Liu , Wen Su , Kin-Yat Liu , Guosheng Yin , Xingqiu Zhao

We study adaptive approximation algorithms for general multivariate linear problems where the sets of input functions are non-convex cones. While it is known that adaptive algorithms perform essentially no better than non-adaptive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Yuhan Ding , Fred J. Hickernell , Peter Kritzer , Simon Mak