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We introduce structural causal bottleneck models (SCBMs), a novel class of structural causal models. At the core of SCBMs lies the assumption that causal effects between high-dimensional variables only depend on low-dimensional summary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Simon Bing , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Patients often discontinue treatment in a clinical trial because their health condition is not improving. Consequently, the patients still in the study at the end of the trial have better health outcomes on average than the initial patient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Alex Ocampo , Heinz Schmidli , Peter Quarg , Francesca Callegari , Marcello Pagano

For marginal structural models, which recently play an important role in causal inference, we consider a model selection problem in the framework of a semiparametric approach using inverse-probability-weighted estimation or doubly robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Takamichi Baba , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

In medicine, comorbidities refer to the presence of multiple, co-occurring diseases. Due to their co-occurring nature, the course of one comorbidity is often highly dependent on the course of the other disease and, hence, treatments can…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Basil Maag , Stefan Feuerriegel , Mathias Kraus , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky , Thomas Züger

Data-driven Clinical Decision Support Systems (CDSS) have the potential to improve and standardise care with personalised probabilistic guidance. However, the size of data required necessitates collaborative learning from analogous CDSS's,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Cécile Trottet , Thijs Vogels , Martin Jaggi , Mary-Anne Hartley

Disease progression modeling (DPM) using longitudinal data is a challenging task in machine learning for healthcare that can provide clinicians with better tools for diagnosis and monitoring of disease. Existing DPM algorithms neglect…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Mostafa Mehdipour Ghazi , Mads Nielsen , Akshay Pai , M. Jorge Cardoso , Marc Modat , Sebastien Ourselin , Lauge Sørensen

In this paper, we consider the problem of reference tracking in uncertain nonlinear systems. A neural State-Space Model (NSSM) is used to approximate the nonlinear system, where a deep encoder network learns the nonlinearity from data, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-26 Jiaqi Yan , Ankush Chakrabarty , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

Background: Quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) of the brain is an advanced MRI technique for assessing tissue characteristics based on magnetic susceptibility, which varies with the composition of the tissue, such as iron, calcium,…

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used in evidence synthesis to estimate the effects of several competing interventions for a given clinical condition. One of the challenges is that it is not possible in disconnected networks. Component…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Maria Petropoulou , Gerta Rücker , Stephanie Weibel , Peter Kranke , Guido Schwarzer

The utilization of Electronic Health Records (EHRs) for clinical risk prediction is on the rise. However, strict privacy regulations limit access to comprehensive health records, making it challenging to apply standard machine learning…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Angeela Acharya , Sulabh Shrestha , Anyi Chen , Joseph Conte , Sanja Avramovic , Siddhartha Sikdar , Antonios Anastasopoulos , Sanmay Das

Evaluating the effects of time-varying exposures is essential for longitudinal studies. The effect estimation becomes increasingly challenging when dealing with hundreds of time-dependent confounders. We propose a Marginal Structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Zhiwei Zhao , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

Clinical prognostic models help inform decision-making by estimating a patient's risk of experiencing an outcome in the future. The net benefit is increasingly being used to assess the clinical utility of models. By calculating an…

Machine learning is used in medicine to support physicians in examination, diagnosis, and predicting outcomes. One of the most dynamic area is the usage of patient generated health data from intensive care units. The goal of this paper is…

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used in healthcare decision-making, where estimates of the effect of multiple treatments on outcomes are required. For time-to-event outcomes such as survival or disease progression the most common…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 David M. Phillippo , Ayman Sadek , Hugo Pedder , Nicky J. Welton

Markov state models (MSMs) have been successful in computing metastable states, slow relaxation timescales and associated structural changes, and stationary or kinetic experimental observables of complex molecules from large amounts of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Frank Noe , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Nuria Plattner

Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data, where sequential treatment decisions heavily depend on evolving patient states, is critical yet notoriously challenging due to complex time-dependent confounding and inadequate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-15 Farbod Alinezhad , Jianfei Cao , Gary J. Young , Brady Post

Problem definition: Personalized medicine (PM) seeks the best treatment for each patient among a set of available treatment methods. Since a specific treatment does not work well on all patients, traditionally, the best treatment was…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Jianzhong Du , Siyang Gao , Chun-Hung Chen

Objective: The objective of this study is to develop a machine learning (ML)-based framework for early risk stratification of clinical trials (CTs) according to their likelihood of exhibiting a high rate of dosing errors, using information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Félicien Hêche , Sohrab Ferdowsi , Anthony Yazdani , Sara Sansaloni-Pastor , Douglas Teodoro

Modern medical research demands specialized causal inference methods evaluating complex continuous-time dynamic treatment regimens using observational data. For instance, obtaining the causal effects of intravenous administration, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Haiyan Zhu , Yingchun Zhou

Clinical notes contain rich patient information, such as diagnoses or medications, making them valuable for patient representation learning. Recent advances in large language models have further improved the ability to extract meaningful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Zihan Liang , Ziwen Pan , Ruoxuan Xiong
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