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Observations on the past provide some hints about what will happen in the future, and this can be quantified using information theory. The ``predictive information'' defined in this way has connections to measures of complexity that have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 William Bialek , Naftali Tishby

Forecasting is usually framed as a problem of model choice. This paper starts earlier, asking how much predictive information is available at each horizon. Under logarithmic loss, the answer is exact: the mutual information between the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-31 Peter Maurice Catt

Learning effective joint representations has been a central task in multi-modal sentiment analysis. Previous works addressing this task focus on exploring sophisticated fusion techniques to enhance performance. However, the inherent…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Weichen Dai , Xingyu Li , Zeyu Wang , Pengbo Hu , Ji Qi , Jianlin Peng , Yi Zhou

Estimating the mutual information from samples from a joint distribution is a challenging problem in both science and engineering. In this work, we realize a variational bound that generalizes both discriminative and generative approaches.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-05 Marco Federici , David Ruhe , Patrick Forré

In an age of increasingly large data sets, investigators in many different disciplines have turned to clustering as a tool for data analysis and exploration. Existing clustering methods, however, typically depend on several nontrivial…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Noam Slonim , Gurinder Singh Atwal , Gasper Tkacik , William Bialek

Integrated information theory (IIT) has established itself as one of the leading theories for the study of consciousness. IIT essentially proposes that quantitative consciousness is identical to maximally integrated conceptual information,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-06 Stephan Krohn , Dirk Ostwald

We introduce and develop a general paradigm for combining information across diverse data sources. In broad terms, suppose $\phi$ is a parameter of interest, built up via components $\psi_1,\ldots,\psi_k$ from data sources $1,\ldots,k$. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Céline Cunen , Nils Lid Hjort

Model selection is the problem of distinguishing competing models, perhaps featuring different numbers of parameters. The statistics literature contains two distinct sets of tools, those based on information theory such as the Akaike…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Andrew R Liddle

A standard approach for assessing the performance of partition models is to create synthetic data sets with a prespecified clustering structure, and assess how well the model reveals this structure. A common format is that subjects are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michail Papathomas

This paper proposes an information-based inference method for partially identified parameters in incomplete models that is valid both when the model is correctly specified and when it is misspecified. Key features of the method are: (i) it…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Hiroaki Kaido , Francesca Molinari

Makkeh, Theis, and Vicente found in [8] that Cone Programming model is the most robust to compute the Bertschinger et al. partial information decompostion (BROJA PID) measure [1]. We developed a production-quality robust software that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Abdullah Makkeh , Dirk Oliver Theis , Raul Vicente

The information decomposition problem requires an additive decomposition of the mutual information between the input and target variables into nonnegative terms. The recently introduced solution to this problem, Information Attribution,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Tomáš Kroupa , Sara Vannucci , Tomáš Votroubek

We consider an approximation scheme for multivariate information assuming that synergistic information only appearing in higher order joint distributions is suppressed, which may hold in large classes of systems. Our approximation scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Masahiro Takimoto

Despite large incentives, ecorrectness in software remains an elusive goal. Declarative programming techniques, where algorithms are derived from a specification of the desired behavior, offer hope to address this problem, since there is a…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2018-01-22 Anthony Di Franco

The Bayesian and Akaike information criteria aim at finding a good balance between under- and over-fitting. They are extensively used every day by practitioners. Yet we contend they suffer from at least two afflictions: their penalty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Sylvain Sardy , Maxime van Cutsem , Sara van de Geer

We present a theoretical framework that extends classical information theory to finite and structured systems by redefining redundancy as a fundamental property of information organization rather than inefficiency. In this framework,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Yuda Bi , Ying Zhu , Vince D Calhoun

We consider the problem of decision-making with side information and unbounded loss functions. Inspired by probably approximately correct learning model, we use a slightly different model that incorporates the notion of side information in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Majid Fozunbal , Ton Kalker

We propose a new framework for reasoning about information in complex systems. Our foundation is based on a variational extension of Shannon's information theory that takes into account the modeling power and computational constraints of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Yilun Xu , Shengjia Zhao , Jiaming Song , Russell Stewart , Stefano Ermon

Information theory is an outstanding framework to measure uncertainty, dependence and relevance in data and systems. It has several desirable properties for real world applications: it naturally deals with multivariate data, it can handle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Valero Laparra , J. Emmanuel Johnson , Gustau Camps-Valls , Raul Santos-Rodríguez , Jesus Malo

Compositional data represent a specific family of multivariate data, where the information of interest is contained in the ratios between parts rather than in absolute values of single parts. The analysis of such specific data is…

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