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We develop classification results for max--stable processes, based on their spectral representations. The structure of max--linear isometries and minimal spectral representations play important roles. We propose a general classification…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-18 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

High-precision measurements require optimal setups and analysis tools to achieve continuous improvements. Systematic corrections need to be modeled with high accuracy and known uncertainty to reconstruct underlying physical phenomena. To…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-31 Max Lamparth , Mattis Bestehorn , Bastian Märkisch

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

A simple variogram model with two parameters is presented that includes the power variogram for the fractional Brownian motion, a modified De Wijsian model, the generalized Cauchy model and the multiquadrics model. One parameter controls…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-08 Martin Schlather

We propose an estimator for the mean of random variables in separable real Banach spaces using the empirical characteristic function. Assuming that the covariance operator of the random variable is bounded in a precise sense, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Sohail Bahmani

Bayesian optimization with Gaussian process as surrogate model has been successfully applied to analog circuit synthesis. In the traditional Gaussian process regression model, the kernel functions are defined explicitly. The computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Shuhan Zhang , Wenlong Lyu , Fan Yang , Changhao Yan , Dian Zhou , Xuan Zeng

High-dimensional simulation optimization is notoriously challenging. We propose a new sampling algorithm that converges to a global optimal solution and suffers minimally from the curse of dimensionality. The algorithm consists of two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Liang Ding , Rui Tuo , Xiaowei Zhang

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

Numerical simulation of complex optical structures enables their optimization with respect to specific objectives. Often, optimization is done by multiple successive parameter scans, which are time consuming and computationally expensive.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-07-27 P. -I. Schneider , X. Garcia Santiago , C. Rockstuhl , S. Burger

The convergence of properly time-scaled and normalized maxima of independent standard Brownian motions to the Brown-Resnick process is well-known in the literature. In this paper, we study the extremal functional behavior of non-Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-15 Bikramjit Das , Sebastian Engelke , Enkelejd Hashorva

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for the simulation of rare events when the underlying dynamics is given by a diffusion. The scheme is based on a Gibbs variational principle that is used to determine the optimal (i.e.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Lorenz Richter

We investigate the frequentist guarantees of the variational sparse Gaussian process regression model. In the theoretical analysis, we focus on the variational approach with spectral features as inducing variables. We derive guarantees and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

The accuracy of Bayesian inference can be negatively affected by the use of inaccurate forward models. In the case of gravitational-wave inference, accurate but computationally expensive waveform models are sometimes substituted with faster…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-02 Miaoxin Liu , Xiao-Dong Li , Alvin J. K. Chua

This paper presents an algorithm to simulate Gaussian random vectors whose precision matrix can be expressed as a polynomial of a sparse matrix. This situation arises in particular when simulating Gaussian Markov random fields obtained by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Mike Pereira , Nicolas Desassis

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

This manuscript introduces a regression-type formulation for approximating the Perron-Frobenius Operator by relying on distributional snapshots of data. These snapshots may represent densities of particles. The Wasserstein metric is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Amirhossein Karimi , Tryphon T. Georgiou

Real world experiments are expensive, and thus it is important to reach a target in minimum number of experiments. Experimental processes often involve control variables that changes over time. Such problems can be formulated as a…

We propose an unconstrained stochastic approximation method of finding the optimal measure change (in an a priori parametric family) for Monte Carlo simulations. We consider different parametric families based on the Girsanov theorem and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

Dynamic and evolving operational and economic environments present significant challenges for decision-making. We explore a simulation optimization problem characterized by non-stationary input distributions with regime-switching dynamics…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Jianglin Xia , Haowei Wang , Songhao Wang , Szu Hui Ng