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The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has attracted extensive attention for modeling complex nonlinear dynamical systems. However, the existing GPSSM employs separate Gaussian processes (GPs) for each latent state dimension,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Zhidi Lin , Juan Maroñas , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis

We compute probabilistic controlled invariant sets for nonlinear systems using Gaussian process state space models, which are data-driven models that account for unmodeled and unknown nonlinear dynamics. We propose a semidefinite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Paul Griffioen , Bingzhuo Zhong , Murat Arcak , Majid Zamani , Marco Caccamo

Despite the wide implementation of machine learning (ML) techniques in traffic flow modeling recently, those data-driven approaches often fall short of accuracy in the cases with a small or noisy dataset. To address this issue, this study…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Yun Yuan , Xianfeng Terry Yang , Zhao Zhang , Shandian Zhe

This paper explores a federated learning approach that automatically selects the number of latent processes in multi-output Gaussian processes (MGPs). The MGP has seen great success as a transfer learning tool when data is generated from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-25 Jingyi Gao , Seokhyun Chung

We present a novel Kalman filter for spatiotemporal systems called the numerical Gaussian process Kalman filter (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been introduced as a physics informed machine learning method for simulating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-06 Armin Küper , Steffen Waldherr

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The modeling and simulation of dynamical systems is a necessary step for many control approaches. Using classical, parameter-based techniques for modeling of modern systems, e.g., soft robotics or human-robot interaction, is often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-01 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Linear dynamical systems are canonical models for learning-based control of plants with uncertain dynamics. The setting consists of a stochastic differential equation that captures the state evolution of the plant understudy, while the true…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

Graph Laplacian learning, also known as network topology inference, is a problem of great interest to multiple communities. In Gaussian graphical models (GM), graph learning amounts to endowing covariance selection with the Laplacian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Changhao Shi , Gal Mishne

In this paper, we develop and analyze an integral fixed-time sliding mode control method for a scenario in which the system model is only partially known, utilizing Gaussian processes. We present two theorems on fixed-time convergence. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-30 Chaimae El Mortajinea , Moussa Labbadib , Adnane Saoudc , Mostafa Bouzia

High performance tracking control can only be achieved if a good model of the dynamics is available. However, such a model is often difficult to obtain from first order physics only. In this paper, we develop a data-driven control law that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Thomas Beckers , Jonas Umlauft , Dana Kulić , Sandra Hirche

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

Non-parametric models, such as Gaussian Processes (GP), show promising results in the analysis of complex data. Their applications in neuroscience data have recently gained traction. In this research, we introduce a novel neural decoder…

A critical bottleneck for scientific progress is the costly nature of computer simulations for complex systems. Surrogate models provide an appealing solution: such models are trained on simulator evaluations, then used to emulate and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-14 Xinming Wang , Simon Mak , John Miller , Jianguo Wu

Estimating covariances between financial assets plays an important role in risk management. In practice, when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables, the empirical estimate is known to be very unstable. Here, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Rajbir-Singh Nirwan , Nils Bertschinger

Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-24 Vladimir Feinberg , Li-Fang Cheng , Kai Li , Barbara E Engelhardt

A key task in AutoML is to model learning curves of machine learning models jointly as a function of model hyper-parameters and training progression. While Gaussian processes (GPs) are suitable for this task, na\"ive GPs require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Jihao Andreas Lin , Sebastian Ament , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

In this paper we introduce a novel framework for making exact nonparametric Bayesian inference on latent functions, that is particularly suitable for Big Data tasks. Firstly, we introduce a class of stochastic processes we refer to as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-22 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen Roberts

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) offer a principled framework for learning and inference in nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertainty quantification. However, existing GPSSMs are limited by the use of multiple independent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Zhidi Lin , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Juan Maroñas , Alexandre H. Thiéry