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Economies grow by upgrading the type of products they produce and export. The technology, capital, institutions and skills needed to make such new products are more easily adapted from some products than others. We study the network of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 C. A. Hidalgo , B. Klinger , A. -L. Barabasi , R. Hausmann

Industries can enter one country first, and then enter its neighbors' markets. Firms in the industry can expand trade network through the export behavior of other firms in the industry. If a firm is dependent on a few foreign markets, the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-15 Xuejian Wang

Economic complexity reflects the amount of knowledge that is embedded in the productive structure of an economy. By combining tools from network science and econometrics, a robust and stable relationship between a country's productive…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-22 Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

Few attempts have been proposed in order to describe the statistical features and historical evolution of the export bipartite matrix countries/products. An important standpoint is the introduction of a products network, namely a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-10 Fabio Saracco , Riccardo Di Clemente , Andrea Gabrielli , Luciano Pietronero

Predicting the future evolution of complex systems is one of the main challenges in complexity science. Based on a current snapshot of a network, link prediction algorithms aim to predict its future evolution. We apply here link prediction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-18 Alexandre Vidmer , An Zeng , Matúš Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Scientific discovery is shaped by scientists' choices and thus by their career patterns. The increasing knowledge required to work at the frontier of science makes it harder for an individual to embark on unexplored paths. Yet…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-28 Giorgio Tripodi , Francesca Chiaromonte , Fabrizio Lillo

Countries tend to diversify their exports by entering products that are related to their current exports. Yet this average behavior is not representative of every diversification path. In this paper, we introduce a method to identify…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-21 Flávio L. Pinheiro , Aamena Alshamsi , Dominik Hartmann , Ron Boschma , César A. Hidalgo

A country's mix of products predicts its subsequent pattern of diversification and economic growth. But does this product mix also predict income inequality? Here we combine methods from econometrics, network science, and economic…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-31 D. Hartmann , M. R. Guevara , C. Jara-Figueroa , M. Aristaran , C. A. Hidalgo

In this paper we develop a methodology to analyze and compare multiple global networks. We focus our analysis on the relation between human migration and trade. First, we identify the subset of products for which the presence of a community…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-24 Paolo Sgrignoli , Rodolfo Metulini , Stefano Schiavo , Massimo Riccaboni

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-11 Philipp Koch

Geopolitical conflicts have increasingly been a driver of trade policy. We study the potential effects of global and persistent geopolitical conflicts on trade, technological innovation, and economic growth. In conventional trade models the…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-31 Carlos Góes , Eddy Bekkers

Prediction is one of the major challenges in complex systems. The prediction methods have shown to be effective predictors of the evolution of networks. These methods can help policy makers to solve practical problems successfully and make…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-05 Hao Liao , Xiao-Min Huang , Xing-Tong Wu , Ming-Kai Liu , Alexandre Vidmer , Mingyang Zhou , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Despite global efforts to harmonize international trade statistics, our understanding of digital trade and its implications remains limited. Here, we introduce a method to estimate bilateral exports and imports for dozens of sectors…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-25 Viktor Stojkoski , Philipp Koch , Eva Coll , Cesar A. Hidalgo

Globalization processes interweave economic structures at a worldwide scale, trade playing a central role as one of the elemental channels of interaction among countries. Despite the significance of such phenomena, measuring economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Angeles Serrano

Trade networks, across which countries distribute their products, are crucial components of the globalized world economy. Their structure is strongly heterogeneous across products, given the different features of the countries which buy and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-09 Carlo Piccardi , Lucia Tajoli

In recent decades, trade between nations has constituted an important component of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with official estimates showing that it likely accounted for a quarter of total global production. While evidence of…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-24 Mayank Kejriwal , Yuesheng Luo

We analyze export data aggregated at world global level of 219 classes of products over a period of 39 years. Our main goal is to set up a dynamical model to identify and quantify plausible mechanisms by which the evolutions of the various…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Michele Caraglio , Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

International Trade (IT) plays a fundamental role in today's economy: by connecting world countries production and consumption processes, it radically contributes in shaping their economy and development path. Although its evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-24 Paolo Sgrignoli

Achieving international food security requires improved understanding of how international trade networks connect countries around the world through the import-export flows of food commodities. The properties of food trade networks are…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-20 Sofia Torreggiani , Giuseppe Mangioni , Michael J. Puma , Giorgio Fagiolo

There are few papers about the international trade of flowers, so it is believed that this paper, with this topic, could be an important contribution to the international scientific community. It is intended to analyze if the international…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-18 Vitor Joao Pereira Domingues Martinho
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