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The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske

We prove a moderate deviation principle for the continuous time interpolation of discrete time recursive stochastic processes. The methods of proof are somewhat different from the corresponding large deviation result, and in particular the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-24 Paul Dupuis , Dane Johnson

We propose a "decomposition method" to prove non-asymptotic bound for the convergence of empirical measures in various dual norms. The main point is to show that if one measures convergence in duality with sufficiently regular observables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Benoît Kloeckner

An Euler-type framework with equidistant step sizes is proposed for a class of time-changed stochastic differential equations.We establish the strong convergence rate of the standard Euler--Maruyama method under the global Lipschitz…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Ruchun Zuo

This work concerns generalized backward stochastic differential equations, which are coupled with a family of reflecting diffusion processes. First of all, we establish the large deviation principle for forward stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Yawen Liu , Huijie Qiao

A probabilistic approach for estimating sample qualities for stochastic differential equations is introduced in this paper. The aim is to provide a quantitative upper bound of the distance between the invariant probability measure of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Matthew Dobson , Jiayu Zhai , Yao Li

The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

This paper establishes the averaging method to a coupled system consisting of two stochastic differential equations which has a slow component driven by fractional Brownian motion (FBM) with less regularity $1/3< H \leq 1/2$ and a fast…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Bin Pei , Robert Hesse , Bjoern Schmalfuss , Yong Xu

We provide a new estimation method for conditional moment models via the martingale difference divergence (MDD).Our MDD-based estimation method is formed in the framework of a continuum of unconditional moment restrictions. Unlike the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Kunyang Song , Feiyu Jiang , Ke Zhu

We study the estimation of the invariant density of additive fractional stochastic differential equations with Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$. We first focus on continuous observations and develop a kernel-based estimator achieving faster…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Chiara Amorino , Eulalia Nualart , Fabien Panloup , Julian Sieber

We study the problem of estimating the diagonal of an implicitly given matrix $\Ab$. For such a matrix we have access to an oracle that allows us to evaluate the matrix quadratic form $ \ub^\top \Ab \ub$. Based on this query oracle, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Haishan Ye , Xiangyu Chang

We study the stochastic $p$-Laplace system in a bounded domain. We propose two new space-time discretizations based on the approximation of time-averaged values. We establish linear convergence in space and $1/2$ convergence in time.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-19 Lars Diening , Martina Hofmanová , Jörn Wichmann

We develop a stochastic model for Lagrangian velocity as it is observed in experimental and numerical fully developed turbulent flows. We define it as the unique statistically stationary solution of a causal dynamics, given by a stochastic…

We have recently presented an extension of the standard variational calculus to include the presence of deformed derivatives in the Lagrangian of a system of particles and in the Lagrangian density of field-theoretic models. Classical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-06-30 J. Weberszpil , J. A. Helayël-Neto

In the presence of multiscale dynamics in a reaction network, direct simulation methods become inefficient as they can only advance the system on the smallest scale. This work presents stochastic averaging techniques to accelerate…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Araz Hashemi , Marcel Nunez , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G. Vlachos

This paper shows that sequential statistical analysis techniques can be generalised to the problem of selecting between alternative forecasting methods using scoring rules. A return to basic principles is necessary in order to show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-15 David T. Frazier , Donald S. Poskitt

The rate of strong convergence is investigated for an approximation scheme for a class of stochastic differential equations driven by a time-changed Brownian motion, where the random time changes $(E_t)_{t\ge 0}$ considered include the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Sixian Jin , Kei Kobayashi

An averaging principle is derived for the abstract nonlinear evolution equation where the almost periodic right hand-side is a continuous perturbation of the time-dependent family of linear operators determining a linear evolution system.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-10-04 Aleksander Cwiszewski

A variational principle is further developed for out of equilibrium dynamical systems by using the concept of maximum entropy. With this new formulation it is obtained a set of two first-order differential equations, revealing the same…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-22 Mario J. Pinheiro

We consider boundary value problems for stochastic differential equations of second order with a small parameter. For this case we prove a special existence and unicity theorem for strong solutions. The asymptotic behavior of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-08 Mikhail Kamenskii , Marc Quincampoix , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov