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For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

A new method is proposed to numerically extract the diffusivity of a (typically nonlinear) diffusion equation from underlying stochastic particle systems. The proposed strategy requires the system to be in local equilibrium and have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Peter Embacher , Nicolas Dirr , Johannes Zimmer , Celia Reina

This paper is concerned with the stochastic linear quadratic Stackelberg differential game with overlapping information, where the diffusion terms contain the control and state variables. Here the term "overlapping" means that there are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Jingtao Shi , Guangchen Wang , Jie Xiong

Despite the widespread usage of discrete generation Ensemble Kalman particle filtering methodology to solve nonlinear and high dimensional filtering and inverse problems, little is known about their mathematical foundations. As genetic-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Pierre del Moral , Emma Horton

This article is concerned with the exponential stability and the uniform propagation of chaos properties of a class of Extended Ensemble Kalman-Bucy filters with respect to the time horizon. This class of nonlinear filters can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Pierre Del Moral , Aline Kurtzmann , Julian Tugaut

The exponential stability and the concentration properties of a class of extended Kalman-Bucy filters are analyzed. New estimation concentration inequalities around partially observed signals are derived in terms of the stability properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Pierre Del Moral , Aline Kurtzmann , Julian Tugaut

Across a large range of scales, accreting sources show remarkably similar patterns of variability, most notably the log-normality of the luminosity distribution and the linear root-mean square (rms)-flux relationship. These results are…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-01-30 Samuel G. D. Turner , Christopher S. Reynolds

Convergence of the Kalman filter is best analyzed by studying the contraction of the Riccati map in the space of positive definite (covariance) matrices. In this paper, we explore how this contraction property relates to a more fundamental…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Francesca Paola Carli , Rodolphe Sepulchre

Exact analytical expressions for the cross-section correlation functions of chaotic scattering sys- tems have hitherto been derived only under special conditions. The objective of the present article is to provide expressions that are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-10-19 Torleif Ericson , Barbara Dietz , Achim Richter

This work presents a comprehensive framework for enhanced diffusion modeling in fluid-structure interactions by combining the Immersed Boundary Method (IBM) with stochastic trajectories and high-order spectral boundary conditions. Using…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Rômulo Damasclin Chaves dos Santos , Jorge Henrique de Oliveira Sales

Many approaches to modelling reaction-diffusion systems with anomalous transport rely on deterministic equations and ignore fluctuations arising due to finite particle numbers. Starting from an individual-based model we use a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-29 Joseph W. Baron , Tobias Galla

We employ the macroscopic fluctuation theory to study fluctuations of integrated current in one-dimensional lattice gases with a step-like initial density profile. We analytically determine the variance of the current fluctuations for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 P. L. Krapivsky , Baruch Meerson

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

For many non-equilibrium dynamics driven by small noise, in physics, chemistry, biology, or economy, rare events do matter. Large deviation theory then explains that the leading order term of the main statistical quantities have an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-21 Freddy Bouchet , Julien Reygner

We prove that for linear, discrete, time-varying, deterministic system (perfect model) with noisy outputs, the Riccati transformation in the Kalman filter asymptotically bounds the rank of the forecast and the analysis error covariance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-30 Karthik S. Gurumoorthy , Colin Grudzien , Amit Apte , Alberto Carrassi , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

Part I of this work [2] developed the exact diffusion algorithm to remove the bias that is characteristic of distributed solutions for deterministic optimization problems. The algorithm was shown to be applicable to a larger set of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Kun Yuan , Bicheng Ying , Xiaochuan Zhao , Ali H. Sayed

In this paper, we study the optimal control problem for steering the state covariance of a discrete-time linear stochastic system over a finite time horizon. First, we establish the existence and uniqueness of the optimal control law for a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-08 Fengjiao Liu , George Rapakoulias , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Diffusion models trained on different, non-overlapping subsets of a dataset often produce strikingly similar outputs when given the same noise seed. We trace this consistency to a simple linear effect: the shared Gaussian statistics across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Binxu Wang , Jacob Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

This paper deals with the filtering problem for a class of discrete time stochastic volatility models in which the disturbances have rational probability density functions. This includes the Cauchy distributions and Student t-distributions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-06-25 Bernard Hanzon , Wolfgang Scherrer

We examine characteristic properties of deterministic and stochastic diffusion in low-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems. As an example, we consider a periodic array of scatterers defined by a simple chaotic map on the line. Adding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Klages