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Deploying deep learning models in real-world certified systems requires the ability to provide confidence estimates that accurately reflect their uncertainty. In this paper, we demonstrate the use of the conformal prediction framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Léo Andéol , Thomas Fel , Florence De Grancey , Luca Mossina

This paper investigates structural changes in the parameters of first-order autoregressive models by analyzing the edge eigenvalues of the precision matrices. Specifically, edge eigenvalues in the precision matrix are observed if and only…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Junho Yang

This work aims at estimating inverse autocovariance matrices of long memory processes admitting a linear representation. A modified Cholesky decomposition is used in conjunction with an increasing order autoregressive model to achieve this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Ching-Kang Ing , Hai-Tang Chiou , Meihui Guo

Estimating covariance matrices is a problem of fundamental importance in multivariate statistics. In practice it is increasingly frequent to work with data matrices $X$ of dimension $n\times p$, where $p$ and $n$ are both large. Results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Noureddine El Karoui

We discuss nonparametric estimation of the distribution function $G(x)$ of the autoregressive coefficient $a \in (-1,1)$ from a panel of $N$ random-coefficient AR(1) data, each of length $n$, by the empirical distribution function of lag 1…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Donatas Surgailis

We consider the high order moments estimator of the frontier of a random pair introduced by Girard, S., Guillou, A., Stupfler, G. (2012). {\it Frontier estimation with kernel regression on high order moments}. In the present paper, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-17 Stephane Girard , Armelle Guillou , Gilles Stupfler

We consider $\mathcal{N}=2$ superconformal quiver gauge theories in four dimensions and evaluate the chiral/anti-chiral correlators of single-trace operators. We show that it is convenient to form particular twisted and untwisted…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2021-11-10 M. Billo , M. Frau , F. Galvagno , A. Lerda , A. Pini

We study the problem of robust time series analysis under the standard auto-regressive (AR) time series model in the presence of arbitrary outliers. We devise an efficient hard thresholding based algorithm which can obtain a consistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Kush Bhatia , Prateek Jain , Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Purushottam Kar

Persistent homology is a tool from Topological Data Analysis (TDA) used to summarize the topology underlying data. It can be conveniently represented through persistence diagrams. Observing a noisy signal, common strategies to infer its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Hugo Henneuse

This paper presents stability and accuracy analysis of a high-order explicit time stepping scheme introduced by \cite[Section 2.2]{Buvoli2019}, which exhibits superior stability compared to classical Adams-Bashforth. A conjecture that is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Daopeng Yin , Liquan Mei

Convergence rates of kernel density estimators for stationary time series are well studied. For invertible linear processes, we construct a new density estimator that converges, in the supremum norm, at the better, parametric, rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

We develop a theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) inference when the data may not satisfy second-order stationarity. Nonstationarity is a common feature of economic time series which may…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini

We propose a novel estimator for the number of components (denoted by $M$) in a K-variate non-parametric finite mixture model, where the analyst has repeated observations of $K\geq2$ variables that are independent given a finitely supported…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Caleb Kwon , Eric Mbakop

Current deep visual local feature detectors do not model the spatial uncertainty of detected features, producing suboptimal results in downstream applications. In this work, we propose two post-hoc covariance estimates that can be plugged…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Javier Tirado-Garín , Frederik Warburg , Javier Civera

Validation is a major challenge in differentiable programming. The state of the art is based on algorithmic differentiation. Consistency of first-order tangent and adjoint programs is defined by a well-known first-order differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Uwe Naumann

Hard-threshold estimators are popular in signal processing applications. We provide a detailed study of using hard-threshold estimators for estimating an unknown deterministic signal when additive white Gaussian noise corrupts observations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-24 Baris I. Erkmen , Vivek K. Goyal

In the one-parameter regression model with AR(1) and AR(2) errors we find explicit expressions and a continuous approximation of the optimal discrete design for the signed least square estimator. The results are used to derive the optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

This paper proposes an algorithmic framework for solving parametric optimization problems which we call adjoint-based predictor-corrector sequential convex programming. After presenting the algorithm, we prove a contraction estimate that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-09-14 Q. Tran Dinh , C. Savorgnan , M. Diehl

We show how conformal invariance predicts the functional form of two-point correlators in one-dimensional periodic quantum systems. Numerical evidence for this functional form in a wide class of models --- including long-ranged ones --- is…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Rudolf A. R"omer , Bill Sutherland

We investigate the eigengenvalues problem for self-adjoint operators with the singular perturbations. The general results presented here includes weakly as well as strongly singular cases. We illustrate these results on two models which…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sylwia Kondej