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Databases often contain corrupted, degraded, and noisy data with duplicate entries across and within each database. Such problems arise in citations, medical databases, genetics, human rights databases, and a variety of other applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-29 Rebecca C. Steorts

Many domain experts do not have the time or expertise to write formal Bayesian models. This paper takes an informal problem description as input, and combines a large language model and a probabilistic programming language to define a joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Justin Domke

Historical data about disease outcomes can be integrated into the analysis of clinical trials in many ways. We build on existing literature that uses prognostic scores from a predictive model to increase the efficiency of treatment effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-25 David Walsh , Alejandro Schuler , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

Purpose: Machine learning is broadly used for clinical data analysis. Before training a model, a machine learning algorithm must be selected. Also, the values of one or more model parameters termed hyper-parameters must be set. Selecting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-10 Xueqiang Zeng , Gang Luo

In an empirical Bayes analysis, we use data from repeated sampling to imitate inferences made by an oracle Bayesian with extensive knowledge of the data-generating distribution. Existing results provide a comprehensive characterization of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Stefan Wager

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Bayesian simulation-based inference (SBI) methods are used in statistical models where simulation is feasible but the likelihood is intractable. Standard SBI methods can perform poorly in cases of model misspecification, and there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Wang Yuyan , Michael Evans , David J. Nott

Deep learning is increasingly moving towards a transfer learning paradigm whereby large foundation models are fine-tuned on downstream tasks, starting from an initialization learned on the source task. But an initialization contains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Micah Goldblum , Hossein Souri , Sanyam Kapoor , Chen Zhu , Yann LeCun , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Bivariate count data arise in several different disciplines (epidemiology, marketing, sports statistics, etc., to name but a few) and the bivariate Poisson distribution which is a generalization of the Poisson distribution plays an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Barry C. Arnold , Indranil Ghosh

High-dimensional data often arise from clinical genomics research to infer relevant predictors of a particular trait. A way to improve the predictive performance is to include information on the predictors derived from prior knowledge or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Claudio Busatto , Mark van de Wiel

In this paper, we are concerned with attributing meaning to the results of a Bayesian analysis for a problem which is sufficiently complex that we are unable to assert a precise correspondence between the expert probabilistic judgements of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Daniel Williamson , Michael Goldstein

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs. Many of these methods (often implicitly) make the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-25 Thijs van Ommen

We introduce a parameterization method called Neural Bayes which allows computing statistical quantities that are in general difficult to compute and opens avenues for formulating new objectives for unsupervised representation learning.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-24 Devansh Arpit , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Richard Socher , Yoshua Bengio

Bayesian variable selection methods are powerful techniques for fitting and inferring on sparse high-dimensional linear regression models. However, many are computationally intensive or require restrictive prior distributions on model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Alexander C. McLain , Anja Zgodic , Howard Bondell

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael Gutmann

We introduce a new, rigorously-formulated Bayesian meta-learning algorithm that learns a probability distribution of model parameter prior for few-shot learning. The proposed algorithm employs a gradient-based variational inference to infer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Cuong Nguyen , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

Updating $\textit{a priori}$ information given some observed data is the core tenet of Bayesian inference. Bayesian transfer learning extends this idea by incorporating information from a related dataset to improve the inference on the…

Divergence is not only an important mathematical concept in information theory, but also applied to machine learning problems such as low-dimensional embedding, manifold learning, clustering, classification, and anomaly detection. We…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-22 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wong
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