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We propose and experimentally demonstrate an innovative stock index prediction method using a weighted optical reservoir computing system. We construct fundamental market data combined with macroeconomic data and technical indicators to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Fang Wang , Ting Bu , Yuping Huang

Many scientific questions require estimating the effects of continuous treatments. Outcome modeling and weighted regression based on the generalized propensity score are the most commonly used methods to evaluate continuous effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Nathan Kallus , Michele Santacatterina

We propose to estimate the weight matrix used for forecast reconciliation as parameters in a general linear model in order to quantify its uncertainty. This implies that forecast reconciliation can be formulated as an orthogonal projection…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Peter Nystrup , Poul G. Hjorth , Henrik Madsen

Principal Components Regression (PCR) is a traditional tool for dimension reduction in linear regression that has been both criticized and defended. One concern about PCR is that obtaining the leading principal components tends to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Martin Slawski

In our previous work, a reduced order model (ROM) for a stochastic system was made, where noisy data was projected onto principal component analysis (PCA)-derived basis vectors to obtain an accurate reconstruction of the noise-free data.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Indika Udagedara , Brian Helenbrook , Aaron Luttman , Jared Catenacci

We present a novel approach to learn a kernel-based regression function. It is based on the useof conical combinations of data-based parameterized kernels and on a new stochastic convex optimization procedure of which we establish…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-01-13 Pierre Machart , Thomas Peel , Liva Ralaivola , Sandrine Anthoine , Hervé Glotin

The configuration model is one of the most successful models for generating uncorrelated random networks. We analyze its behavior when the expected degree sequence follows a power law with exponent smaller than two. In this situation, the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 M. A. Serrano , M. Boguna

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

Most networks encountered in nature, society, and technology have weighted edges, representing the strength of the interaction/association between their vertices. Randomizing the structure of a network is a classic procedure used to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-29 Filipi N. Silva , Sadamori Kojaku , Alessandro Flammini , Filippo Radicchi , Santo Fortunato

Many biological high-throughput data sets, such as targeted amplicon-based and metagenomic sequencing data, are compositional in nature. A common exploratory data analysis task is to infer statistical associations between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Aditya Mishra , Christian L. Muller

A computationally efficient protocol for machine learning in chemical space using Boltzmann ensembles of conformers as input is proposed; the method is based on rewriting Kernel Ridge Regression expressions in terms of Structured Orthogonal…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-07-11 Konstantin Karandashev

Effective features can improve the performance of a model, which can thus help us understand the characteristics and underlying structure of complex data. Previous feature selection methods usually cannot keep more local structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Xia Wu , Xueyuan Xu , Jianhong Liu , Hailing Wang , Bin Hu , Feiping Nie

One can improve predictability in the unknown domain by combining forecasts of imperfect complex computational models using a Bayesian statistical machine learning framework. In many cases, however, the models used in the mixing process are…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-08-21 Pablo Giuliani , Kyle Godbey , Vojtech Kejzlar , Witold Nazarewicz

Multi-group data are commonly seen in practice. Such data structure consists of data from multiple groups and can be challenging to analyze due to data heterogeneity. We propose a novel Joint and Individual Component Regression (JICO) model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Peiyao Wang , Haodong Wang , Quefeng Li , Dinggang Shen , Yufeng Liu

Robust Ordinal Regression (ROR) is a way of dealing with Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding (MCDA), by considering all sets of parameters of an assumed preference model, that are compatible with preference information given by the Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-06-28 Salvatore Corrente , Salvatore Greco , Roman Slowinski

A regression model is proposed for the analysis of an ordinal response variable depending on a set of multiple covariates containing ordinal and potentially other variables. The proportional odds model (McCullagh (1980)) is used for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Javier Espinosa , Christian Hennig

Kiers (1991) considered the orthogonal rotation in PCAMIX, a principal component method for a mixture of qualitative and quantitative variables. PCAMIX includes the ordinary principal component analysis (PCA) and multiple correspondence…

Computation · Statistics 2012-12-11 M. Chavent , K. Vanessa , J. Saracco

Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

We develop a new robust geographically weighted regression method in the presence of outliers. We embed the standard geographically weighted regression in robust objective function based on $\gamma$-divergence. A novel feature of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daisuke Murakami

Random features (RFs) are a popular technique to scale up kernel methods in machine learning, replacing exact kernel evaluations with stochastic Monte Carlo estimates. They underpin models as diverse as efficient transformers (by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-04 Isaac Reid , Stratis Markou , Krzysztof Choromanski , Richard E. Turner , Adrian Weller
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