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We are interested in learning causal relationships between pairs of random variables, purely from observational data. To effectively address this task, the state-of-the-art relies on strong assumptions regarding the mechanisms mapping…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-09-16 David Lopez-Paz , Krikamol Muandet , Benjamin Recht

This paper develops a class of potential outcomes models characterized by three main features: (i) Unobserved heterogeneity can be represented by a vector of potential outcomes and a type describing the manner in which an instrument…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-10 Manu Navjeevan , Rodrigo Pinto , Andres Santos

Correlation coefficients play a pivotal role in quantifying linear relationships between random variables. Yet, their application to time series data is very challenging due to temporal dependencies. This paper introduces a novel approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Johan Medrano , Abderrahmane Kheddar , Sofiane Ramdani

We consider the problem of detecting the dimensionality of entanglement with the use of correlations between measurements in randomized directions. First, exploiting the recently derived covariance matrix criterion for the entanglement…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-20 Shuheng Liu , Qiongyi He , Marcus Huber , Otfried Gühne , Giuseppe Vitagliano

Can stated preferences inform counterfactual analyses of actual choice? This research proposes a novel approach to researchers who have access to both stated choices in hypothetical scenarios and actual choices, matched or unmatched. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Romuald Meango , Marc Henry , Ismael Mourifie

We develop a collection of methods for adjusting the predictions of quantile regression to ensure coverage. Our methods are model agnostic and can be used to correct for high-dimensional overfitting bias with only minimal assumptions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-10 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Higher order correlation measurements involve multiple event averages which must run over unequal events to avoid statistical bias. We derive correction formulas for small event samples, where the bias is largest, and utilize the results to…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-22 H. C. Eggers , P. Lipa

Is it possible to define a coefficient of correlation which is (a) as simple as the classical coefficients like Pearson's correlation or Spearman's correlation, and yet (b) consistently estimates some simple and interpretable measure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Sourav Chatterjee

We take a different look at the problem of testing the independence of two metric-space-valued random variables using the distance correlation. Instead of testing if the distance correlation vanishes exactly, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Holger Dette , Marius Kroll

In this work we propose a statistical approach to handling sources of theoretical uncertainty in string theory models of inflation. By viewing a model of inflation as a probabilistic graph, we show that there is an inevitable information…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2019-06-05 Mafalda Dias , Jonathan Frazer , Alexander Westphal

Verifying entanglement with experimental measurements requires that we take the limitations of experimental techniques into account, while still proving that the data obtained could not have been generated from a classical source. In the…

Causal discovery from data affected by unobserved variables is an important but difficult problem to solve. The effects that unobserved variables have on the relationships between observed variables are more complex in nonlinear cases than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Takashi Nicholas Maeda , Shohei Shimizu

When domain knowledge is limited and experimentation is restricted by ethical, financial, or time constraints, practitioners turn to observational causal discovery methods to recover the causal structure, exploiting the statistical…

The possibility that price dynamics is affected by its distance from a moving average has been recently introduced as new statistical tool. The purpose is to identify the tendency of the price dynamics to be attractive or repulsive with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 V. Alfi , F. Coccetti , M. Marotta , L. Pietronero , M. Takayasu

Ideally, all analyses of normally distributed data should include the full covariance information between all data points. In practice, the full covariance matrix between all data points is not always available. Either because a result was…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Lukas Koch

Objective: Modelling the associations from high-throughput experimental molecular data has provided unprecedented insights into biological pathways and signalling mechanisms. Graphical models and networks have especially proven to be useful…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-24 Marco Scutari , Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

A possible drawback of the ordinary correlation coefficient $\rho$ for two real random variables $X$ and $Y$ is that zero correlation does not imply independence. In this paper we introduce a new correlation coefficient $\rho^*$ which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wicher P. Bergsma

Inferring causal effects of continuous-valued treatments from observational data is a crucial task promising to better inform policy- and decision-makers. A critical assumption needed to identify these effects is that all confounding…

Identifying causal relationships from observation data is difficult, in large part, due to the presence of hidden common causes. In some cases, where just the right patterns of conditional independence and dependence lie in the data---for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-08 David Heckerman

With the emergence of high-frequency connected and automated vehicle data, analysts have become able to extract useful information from them. To this end, the concept of "driving volatility" is defined and explored as deviation from the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-16 Mohsen Kamrani , Ramin Arvin , Asad J. Khattak