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We study the consistency and weak convergence of the conditional tail function and conditional Hill estimators under broad dependence assumptions for a heavy-tailed response sequence and a covariate sequence. Consistency is established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Martin Bladt , Laurits Glargaard , Theodor Henningsen

We study the asymptotic behavior of the marginal expected shortfall when the two random variables are asymptotic independent but positive associated, which is modeled by the so-called tail dependent coefficient. We construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Juan-Juan Cai , Eni Musta

Expectile, as the minimizer of an asymmetric quadratic loss function, is a coherent risk measure and is helpful to use more information about the distribution of the considered risk. In this paper, we propose a new risk measure by replacing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-31 Qian Xiong , Zuoxiang Peng

In this paper, we analyze the relative errors in various reliability measures due to the tacit assumption that the components associated with a $n$-component series system or a parallel system are independently working where the components…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda Kumar Nanda , Subhashree Patra

Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Chengping Gong , Chengxiu Ling

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade

We introduce a new type of estimator for the spectral tail process of a regularly varying time series. The approach is based on a characterizing invariance property of the spectral tail process, which is incorporated into the new estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung

In this paper, we consider the problem of the estimation of a Weibull tail-coefficient. In particular, we propose a regression model, from which we derive a bias-reduced estimator. This estimator is based on a least-squares approach. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-01 J. Diebolt , L. Gardes , S. Girard , A. Guillou

The paper presents a new copula based method for measuring dependence between random variables. Our approach extends the Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the copula of the joint distribution. We prove that this approach has several advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Barnabas Poczos , Zoubin Ghahramani , Jeff Schneider

A common object to describe the extremal dependence of a $d$-variate random vector $X$ is the stable tail dependence function $L$. Various parametric models have emerged, with a popular subclass consisting of those stable tail dependence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Alexis Boulin , Axel Bücher

Assessing dependence within co-movements of financial instruments has been of much interest in risk management. Typically, indices of tail dependence are used to quantify the strength of such dependence, although many of the indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Ning Sun , Chen Yang , Ričardas Zitikis

Given a random sample from a continuous multivariate distribution, Stute's representation is obtained for empirical copula processes constructed from a broad class of smooth, possibly data-adaptive nonparametric copula estimators. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Ivan Kojadinovic

This paper considers the efficient estimation of copula-based semiparametric strictly stationary Markov models. These models are characterized by nonparametric invariant (one-dimensional marginal) distributions and parametric bivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Xiaohong Chen , Wei Biao Wu , Yanping Yi

We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

Quantifying tail dependence is an important issue in insurance and risk management. The prevalent tail dependence coefficient (TDC), however, is known to underestimate the degree of tail dependence and it does not capture non-exchangeable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Takaaki Koike , Shogo Kato , Marius Hofert

Multistable distributions, which have been introduced recently by Falconer, L\'evy V\'ehel and their co-authors, are natural generalizations of symmetric "alpha" stable distributions; roughly speaking, they are obtained by replacing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Antoine Ayache

A factor copula model is proposed in which factors are either simulable or estimable from exogenous information. Point estimation and inference are based on a simulated methods of moments (SMM) approach with non-overlapping simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

This study examines the varying coefficient model in tail index regression. The varying coefficient model is an efficient semiparametric model that avoids the curse of dimensionality when including large covariates in the model. In fact,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Koki Momoki , Takuma Yoshida

We develop factor copula models for analysing the dependence among mixed continuous and discrete responses. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas that involve both observed and latent variables, hence they allow tail, asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos