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It has long been known that scientific output proceeds on an exponential increase, or more properly, a logistic growth curve. The interplay between effort and discovery is clear, and the nature of the functional form has been thought to be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-05-17 Samuel Arbesman

Despite persistent efforts in revealing the temporal patterns in scientific careers, little attention has been paid to the spatial patterns of scientific activities in the knowledge space. Here, drawing on millions of papers in six…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-27 Shuang Zhang , Feifan Liu , Haoxiang Xia

Science advances by pushing the boundaries of the adjacent possible. While the global scientific enterprise grows at an exponential pace, at the mesoscopic level the exploration and exploitation of research ideas is reflected through the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-12 Chakresh Singh , Emma Barme , Robert Ward , Liubov Tupikina , Marc Santolini

Evolution has fascinated quantitative and physical scientists for decades: how can the random process of mutation, recombination, and duplication of genetic information generate the diversity of life? What determines the rate of evolution?…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-23 Richard A. Neher , Aleksandra M. Walczak

The expectation that scientific productivity follows regular patterns over a career underpins many scholarly evaluations. However, recent studies of individual productivity patterns reveal a puzzle: the average number of papers published…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-13 Sam Zhang , Nicholas LaBerge , Samuel F. Way , Daniel B. Larremore , Aaron Clauset

Many researchers have identified distribution shift as a likely contributor to the reproducibility crisis in behavioral and biomedical sciences. The idea is that if treatment effects vary across individual characteristics and experimental…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-06 Ying Jin , Kevin Guo , Dominik Rothenhäusler

A key goal in studies of ecology and evolution is understanding the causes of phenotypic diversity in nature. Most traits of interest, such as those relating to morphology, life-history, immunity and behaviour are quantitative, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-22 Susan E. Johnston , Nancy Chen , Emily B. Josephs

The quest for historically impactful science and technology provides invaluable insight into the innovation dynamics of human society, yet many studies are limited to qualitative and small-scale approaches. Here, we investigate scientific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-19 Jinhyuk Yun , Pan-Jun Kim , Hawoong Jeong

A mass of traces of human activities show diverse dynamic patterns. In this paper, we comprehensively investigate the dynamic pattern of human attention defined by the quantity of interests on subdisciplines in an online academic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-29 Zhi-Dan Zhao , Ya-Chun Gao , Shi-Min Cai

What factors affect a scientist's choice of research problem? Qualitative research in the history, philosophy, and sociology of science suggests that this choice is shaped by an "essential tension" between the professional demand for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-02-28 Jacob G. Foster , Andrey Rzhetsky , James A. Evans

We analyze the publication records of individual scientists, aiming to quantify the topic switching dynamics of scientists and its influence. For each scientist, the relations among her publications are characterized via shared references.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-11 An Zeng , Zhesi Shen , Jianlin Zhou , Ying Fan , Zengru Di , Yougui Wang , H. Eugene Stanley , Shlomo Havlin

Understanding how institutional changes within academia may affect the overall potential of science requires a better quantitative representation of how careers evolve over time. Since knowledge spillovers, cumulative advantage,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-04 Alexander M. Petersen , Massimo Riccaboni , H. Eugene Stanley , Fabio Pammolli

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

A multi-parametric family of stretch exponential distributions with various power law tails is introduced and is shown to describe adequately the empirical distributions of scientific citation of individual authors. The four-parametric…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-13 O. S. Garanina , M. Yu. Romanovsky

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

A fundamental question in the field of social studies of science is how research fields emerge, grow and decline over time and space. This study confronts this question here by developing an inductive analysis of emerging research fields…

General Economics · Economics 2018-07-23 Mario Coccia

Molecular phenotypes are important links between genomic information and organismic functions, fitness, and evolution. Complex phenotypes, which are also called quantitative traits, often depend on multiple genomic loci. Their evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-12 Armita Nourmohammad , Stephan Schiffels , Michael Laessig

Human behaviors are often driven by human interests. Despite intense recent efforts in exploring the dynamics of human behaviors, little is known about human-interest dynamics, partly due to the extreme difficulty in accessing the human…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-31 Zhi-Dan Zhao , Zimo Yang , Zike Zhang , Tao Zhou , Zi-Gang Huang , Ying-Cheng Lai

Consistent confirmations obtained independently of each other lend credibility to a scientific result. We refer to results satisfying this consistency as reproducible and assume that reproducibility is a desirable property of scientific…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-06-19 Berna Devezer , Luis G. Nardin , Bert Baumgaertner , Erkan Buzbas

One of the most interesting scientific challenges nowadays deals with the analysis and the understanding of complex networks' dynamics. A major issue is the definition of new frameworks for the exploration of the dynamics at play in real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2010-12-21 Walter Quattrociocchi , Frederic Amblard
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