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Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

For decades, classical point process models, such as the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model, have been widely used for forecasting the event times and locations of earthquakes. Recent advances have led to Neural Point Processes…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-12 Samuel Stockman , Daniel Lawson , Maximilian Werner

Demands on the disaster response capacity of the European Union are likely to increase, as the impacts of disasters continue to grow both in size and frequency. This has resulted in intensive research on issues concerning spatially-explicit…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-30 Dario Rodriguez-Aseretto , Christian Schaerer , Daniele de Rigo

Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

Ground motion scenarios exists for most of the seismically active areas around the globe. They essentially correspond to shaking level maps at given earthquake return times which are used as reference for the likely areas under threat from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-02 Luigi Lombardo , Hakan Tanyas

Near real-time damage diagnosis of building structures after extreme events (e.g., earthquakes) is of great importance in structural health monitoring. Unlike conventional methods that are usually time-consuming and require human expertise,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-25 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

Earthquake early warning systems are crucial for protecting areas that are subject to these natural disasters. An essential part of these systems is the detection procedure. Traditionally these systems work with seismograph data, but high…

Induced seismicity has emerged as a source of a significant earthquake hazard associated with recent development of unconventional energy resources. Therefore, it is imperative to develop stochastic models that can accurately describe the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-08 Robert Shcherbakov

For earthquake-resistant design, engineering seismologists employ time-history analysis for nonlinear simulations. The nonstationary stochastic method previously developed by Pousse et al. (2006) has been updated. This method has the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-18 Aurore Laurendeau , Fabrice Cotton , Luis Fabian Bonilla

In recent years, considerable attention has been paid to research and development methods able to assess the seismic energy propagation on the territory. The seismic energy propagation is strongly related to the complexity of the source and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-04-11 Giulio Zuccaro , Daniela De Gregorio , Magdalini Titirla , Mariano Modano , Luciano Rosati

This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-20 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

In this paper, I introduce a novel approach to modelling the individual random component (also called the intra-event uncertainty) of a ground-motion relation (GMR), as well as a novel approach to estimating the corresponding parameters. In…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-07-20 Mathias Raschke

The recent exploitation of natural resources and associated waste water injection in the subsurface have induced many small and moderate earthquakes in the tectonically quiet Central United States. This increase in seismic activity has…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-18 José Augusto Proença Maia Devienne

Numerical models are starting to be used for determining the future behaviour of seismic faults and fault networks. Their final goal would be to forecast future large earthquakes. In order to use them for this task, it is necessary to…

The declining synchronous inertia in power systems undergoing the energy transition increases the sensitivity of system frequency to generation and interconnector disturbances, making accurate frequency risk quantification increasingly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Sewedo Todowede

CyberShake (CS) is a high-performance computing workflow for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) developed by the Statewide California Earthquake Center. Here, we employ CS to generate a set of 2103 fault ruptures and simulate…

This study describes a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based technique for the prediction of intensity measurements (IMs) of ground shaking. The input data to the CNN model consists of multistation 3C broadband and accelerometric…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-13 Dario Jozinović , Anthony Lomax , Ivan Štajduhar , Alberto Michelini

Earthquakes cannot be predicted with precision, but algorithms exist for intermediate-term middle range prediction of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold, based on seismicity patterns. Few years ago, a first attempt was made in the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-07 G. F. Panza , A. Peresan , F. Sansò , M. Crespi , A. Mazzoni , A. Nascetti

Endurance time method is a time history dynamic analysis in which structures are subjected to predesigned intensifying excitations. This method provides a tool for response prediction that correlates structural responses to the intensity of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Homayoon E. Estekanchi , Mohammadreza Mashayekhi , Hassan Vafai , Goodarz Ahmadi , S. Ali Mirfarhadi , Mojtaba Harati