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We present a new algorithm for discovering patterns in time series and other sequential data. We exhibit a reliable procedure for building the minimal set of hidden, Markovian states that is statistically capable of producing the behavior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield

The theme of this paper is the derivation of analytic formulae for certain large combinatorial structures. The formulae are obtained via fluid limits of pure jump-type Markov processes, established under simple conditions on the Laplace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

A Markov state model of the dynamics of a protein-like chain immersed in an implicit hard sphere solvent is derived from first principles for a system of monomers that interact via discontinuous potentials designed to account for local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Jeremy Schofield , Hanif Bayat

A symmetric matrix is Robinsonian if its rows and columns can be simultaneously reordered in such a way that entries are monotone nondecreasing in rows and columns when moving toward the diagonal. The adjacency matrix of a graph is…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Monique Laurent , Matteo Seminaroti , Shin-ichi Tanigawa

An efficient structural identifiability analysis algorithm is developed in this study for a broad range of network structures. The proposed method adopts the Wright's path coefficient method to generate identifiability equations in forms of…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-25 Yulin Wang , Na Lu , Hongyu Miao

We propose a method for learning Markov network structures for continuous data without invoking any assumptions about the distribution of the variables. The method makes use of previous work on a non-parametric estimator for mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Janne Leppä-aho , Santeri Räisänen , Xiao Yang , Teemu Roos

The exact parameter values of mathematical models are often uncertain or even unknown. Nevertheless, we may have access to crude information about the parameters, e.g., that some of them are nonzero. Such information can be captured by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-25 B. M. Shali , H. J. van Waarde , M. K. Camlibel , H. L. Trentelman

Full Bayesian computational inference for model determination in undirected graphical models is currently restricted to decomposable graphs, except for problems of very small scale. In this paper we develop new, more efficient methodology…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-05 Peter J. Green , Alun Thomas

We consider estimating the transition probability matrix of a finite-state finite-observation alphabet hidden Markov model with known observation probabilities. The main contribution is a two-step algorithm; a method of moments estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

We present a new algorithm for identifying the transition and emission probabilities of a hidden Markov model (HMM) from the emitted data. Expectation-maximization becomes computationally prohibitive for long observation records, which are…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Kejun Huang , Xiao Fu , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos

In this paper we develop a statistical estimation technique to recover the transition kernel $P$ of a Markov chain $X=(X_m)_{m \in \mathbb N}$ in presence of censored data. We consider the situation where only a sub-sequence of $X$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Flavia Barsotti , Yohann De Castro , Thibault Espinasse , Paul Rochet

This work is devoted to the almost sure stabilization of adaptive control systems that involve an unknown Markov chain. The control system displays continuous dynamics represented by differential equations and discrete events given by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-10 Bernard Bercu , Francois Dufour , G. George Yin

A block Markov chain is a Markov chain whose state space can be partitioned into a finite number of clusters such that the transition probabilities only depend on the clusters. Block Markov chains thus serve as a model for Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Jaron Sanders , Alexander Van Werde

This paper studies the structural controllability of a class of uncertain switched linear systems, where the parameters of subsystems state matrices are either unknown or zero. The structural controllability is a generalization of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-08-27 Xiaomeng Liu , Hai Lin , Ben M. Chen

In this paper, we propose a simple, versatile model for learning the structure and parameters of multivariate distributions from a data set. Learning a Markov network from a given data set is not a simple problem, because Markov networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-19 Kazuya Takabatake , Shotaro Akaho

We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Andrew L. Allan

This paper investigates two issues on identification of switched linear systems: persistence of excitation and numerical algorithms. The main contribution is a much weaker condition on the regressor to be persistently exciting that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-07 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Changming Cheng , Er-Wei Bai

In this paper we study the problem of learning phylogenies and hidden Markov models. We call a Markov model nonsingular if all transition matrices have determinants bounded away from 0 (and 1). We highlight the role of the nonsingularity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-16 Elchanan Mossel , Sébastien Roch

A goal in the kinetic characterization of a macromolecular system is the description of its slow relaxation processes, involving (i) identification of the structural changes involved in these processes, and (ii) estimation of the rates or…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Guillermo Perez-Hernandez , Fabian Paul , Toni Giorgino , Gianni de Fabritiis , Frank Noé