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Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin

This paper deals with parameter estimation in pair hidden Markov models (pair-HMMs). We first provide a rigorous formalism for these models and discuss possible definitions of likelihoods. The model being biologically motivated, some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-09 Ana Arribas-Gil , Elisabeth Gassiat , Catherine Matias

We consider the estimation of the transition matrix of a hidden Markovian process by using information geometry with respect to transition matrices. In this paper, only the histogram of $k$-memory data is used for the estimation. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Masahito Hayashi

We present several new results on the feasibility of inferring the hidden states in strongly-connected trackable weak models. Here, a weak model is a directed graph in which each node is assigned a set of colors which may be emitted when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Mark Chilenski , George Cybenko , Isaac Dekine , Piyush Kumar , Gil Raz

Parametric Markov chains (pMC) are used to model probabilistic systems with unknown or partially known probabilities. Although (universal) pMC verification for reachability properties is known to be coETR-complete, there have been efforts…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Kasper Engelen , Guillermo A. Pérez , Shrisha Rao

For a directed acyclic graph, there are two known criteria to decide whether any specific conditional independence statement is implied for all distributions factorized according to the given graph. Both criteria are based on special types…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-03 Giovanni M. Marchetti , Nanny Wermuth

We propose a numerical technique for parameter inference in Markov models of biological processes. Based on time-series data of a process we estimate the kinetic rate constants by maximizing the likelihood of the data. The computation of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , David Spieler , Verena Wolf

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Model reduction of Markov processes is a basic problem in modeling state-transition systems. Motivated by the state aggregation approach rooted in control theory, we study the statistical state compression of a discrete-state Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-26 Anru Zhang , Mengdi Wang

Given a family of systems, identifying stabilizing switching signals in terms of infinite walks constructed by concatenating cycles on the underlying directed graph of a switched system that satisfy certain conditions, is a well-known…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-18 Atreyee Kundu

Acyclic directed mixed graphs, also known as semi-Markov models represent the conditional independence structure induced on an observed margin by a DAG model with latent variables. In this paper we present a factorization criterion for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-27 Thomas S. Richardson

We discuss algorithms for combining sequential prediction strategies, a task which can be viewed as a natural generalisation of the concept of universal coding. We describe a graphical language based on Hidden Markov Models for defining…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-27 Wouter M. Koolen , Steven de Rooij

We study parameter identification problems in a structured population model without mutations. Given measurements of the total population size or critical points of the population, we aim to recover its growth rate, death rate or initial…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Alexander Lorz , Jan-Frederik Pietschmann , Matthias Schlottbom

Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them `non-Markovian', which means that their…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Pietari Laitinen , Matti Vihola

We present explicit descriptions of the decompositions of vertices of a hypercube graph with respect to its distinguished symmetric cycle.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Andrey O. Matveev

We develop a formalism that allows us to describe Markov compacta with finite sets of diagrams that are building blocks of the entire sequence. This encodes complex, continuous spaces with discrete collections of combinatorial objects. We…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2017-11-23 G. C. Bell , A. Nagórko

We propose a simple tractable pair hidden Markov model for pairwise sequence alignment that accounts for the presence of short tandem repeats. Using the framework of gain functions, we design several optimization criteria for decoding this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-31 Michal Nánási , Tomáš Vinař , Broňa Brejová

This paper presents an algorithm to geometrically characterize inertial parameter identifiability for an articulated robot. The geometric approach tests identifiability across the infinite space of configurations using only a finite set of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Patrick M. Wensing , Günter Niemeyer , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine

We study the class structure of finite-alphabet Markov chains with arbitrary memory length. To capture the structural constraints induced by prohibited transitions, we introduce the skeleton of a higher-order transition kernel, defined as a…

Finding a suitable measurement matrix is an important topic in compressed sensing. Though the known random matrix, whose entries are drawn independently from a certain probability distribution, can be used as a measurement matrix and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-07-09 Yi-Zheng Fan , Tao Huang , Ming Zhu