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This paper is on Bayesian inference for parametric statistical models that are defined by a stochastic simulator which specifies how data is generated. Exact sampling is then possible but evaluating the likelihood function is typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Borislav Ikonomov , Michael U. Gutmann

State space models (SSM) have been widely applied for the analysis and visualization of large sequential datasets. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a very popular particle-based method to sample latent states from intractable posteriors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Duo Xu

Based on a new coupling approach, we prove that the transition step of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm is contractive w.r.t. a carefully designed Kantorovich (L1 Wasserstein) distance. The lower bound for the contraction rate is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Andreas Eberle , Raphael Zimmer

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that avoids the random walk behavior and sensitivity to correlated parameters that plague many MCMC methods by taking a series of steps informed by first-order…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-19 Matthew D. Hoffman , Andrew Gelman

We study Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) samplers based on splitting the Hamiltonian $H$ as $H_0(\theta,p)+U_1(\theta)$, where $H_0$ is quadratic and $U_1$ small. We show that, in general, such samplers suffer from stepsize stability…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-18 Fernando Casas , Jesús María Sanz-Serna , Luke Shaw

A non trivial problem that arises in several applications is the estimation of the mean of a truncated normal distribution. In this paper, an iterative deterministic scheme for approximating this mean is proposed. It has been inspired from…

We consider the Riemann manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) method for solving statistical inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The power of the RMHMC method is that it exploits the geometric structure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Tan Bui-Thanh , Mark Girolami

A core problem in statistics and probabilistic machine learning is to compute probability distributions and expectations. This is the fundamental problem of Bayesian statistics and machine learning, which frames all inference as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Monte Carlo methods are widely used for approximating complicated, multidimensional integrals for Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) is an important class of Monte Carlo methods, which utilizes a population of proposals to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Chaofan Huang , V. Roshan Joseph , Simon Mak

We show how the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm can sometimes be speeded up by "splitting" the Hamiltonian in a way that allows much of the movement around the state space to be done at low computational cost. One context where this is…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-17 Babak Shahbaba , Shiwei Lan , Wesley O. Johnson , Radford M. Neal

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is arguably the dominant statistical inference algorithm used in most popular "first-order differentiable" Probabilistic Programming Languages (PPLs). However, the fact that HMC uses derivative information…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-31 Bradley Gram-Hansen , Yuan Zhou , Tobias Kohn , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang , Frank Wood

We obtain several quantitative bounds on the mixing properties of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm for a strongly log-concave target distribution $\pi$ on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, showing that HMC mixes quickly in this setting. One of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Oren Mangoubi , Aaron Smith

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a premier Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for continuous target distributions. Its full potential can only be unleashed when its problem-dependent hyperparameters are tuned well. The adaptation of…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-10 Pavel Sountsov , Matt D. Hoffman

We discuss Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and event-chain Monte Carlo (ECMC) for the one-dimensional chain of particles with harmonic interactions and benchmark them against local reversible Metropolis algorithms. While HMC achieves…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-19 Werner Krauth

In this paper, we develop a general theory of truncated inverse binomial sampling. In this theory, the fixed-size sampling and inverse binomial sampling are accommodated as special cases. In particular, the classical Chernoff-Hoeffding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Xinjia Chen

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular method in sampling. While there are quite a few works of studying this method on various aspects, an interesting question is how to choose its integration time to achieve acceleration. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Jun-Kun Wang , Andre Wibisono

This work considers the problem of sampling from a probability distribution known up to a normalization constant while satisfying a set of statistical constraints specified by the expected values of general nonlinear functions. This problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-08 Luiz F. O. Chamon , Mohammad Reza Karimi , Anna Korba

We propose nested sequential Monte Carlo (NSMC), a methodology to sample from sequences of probability distributions, even where the random variables are high-dimensional. NSMC generalises the SMC framework by requiring only approximate,…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-14 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Sampling logconcave functions arising in statistics and machine learning has been a subject of intensive study. Recent developments include analyses for Langevin dynamics and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). While both approaches have…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Yin Tat Lee , Zhao Song , Santosh S. Vempala

We analyze Riemannian Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RHMC) for sampling a polytope defined by $m$ inequalities in $\R^n$ endowed with the metric defined by the Hessian of a convex barrier function. The advantage of RHMC over Euclidean methods…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Khashayar Gatmiry , Jonathan Kelner , Santosh S. Vempala