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Accurate and efficient estimation of rare events probabilities is of significant importance, since often the occurrences of such events have widespread impacts. The focus in this work is on precisely quantifying these probabilities, often…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-11 Hamed Nikbakht , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou

Numerous applications in biology, statistics, science, and engineering require generating samples from high-dimensional probability distributions. In recent years, the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method has emerged as a state-of-the-art…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Dhruv V. Patel , Jonghyun Lee , Matthew W. Farthing , Peter K. Kitanidis , Eric F. Darve

We investigate the use of a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to map out the posterior density function for supermassive black hole binaries. While previous Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, such as Metropolis-Hastings MCMC, have been…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-08-19 Edward K. Porter , Jérôme Carré

The use of the probabilistic approach to solve inverse problems is becoming more popular in the geophysical community, thanks to its ability to address nonlinear forward problems and to provide uncertainty quantification. However, such…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-11-13 Andrea Zunino , Lars Gebraad , Alessandro Ghirotto , Andreas Fichtner

We develop Microcanonical Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (MCHMC), a class of models which follow a fixed energy Hamiltonian dynamics, in contrast to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), which follows canonical distribution with different energy levels.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Jakob Robnik , G. Bruno De Luca , Eva Silverstein , Uroš Seljak

We design and implement a novel algorithm for computing a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator of the cumulative distribution function of a quantity of interest in problems with random input parameters or initial conditions. Our approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Søren Taverniers , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

This article introduces the Modified Parameterized Leapfrog Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (MPL-HMC) method, a novel extension of HMC addressing key limitations through tunable integration parameters $\alpha(\delta t)$ and $\beta(\delta t)$,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Sourabh Bhattacharya

In this paper we propose to evaluate and compare Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to estimate the parameters in a generalized extreme value model. We employed the Bayesian approach using traditional Metropolis-Hastings methods,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-03 Marcelo Hartmann , Ricardo Ehlers

Standard Markov chain Monte Carlo methods struggle to explore distributions that are concentrated in the neighbourhood of low-dimensional structures. These pathologies naturally occur in a number of situations. For example, they are common…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-02 Khai Xiang Au , Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery

This technical report presents pseudo-code for a Riemannian manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) method to efficiently simulate samples from $N$-dimensional posterior distributions $p(x|y)$, where $x \in R^N$ is drawn from a Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Ulrich Paquet , Marco Fraccaro

Markov Chain Monte Carlo inference of target posterior distributions in machine learning is predominately conducted via Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants. This is due to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo based samplers ability to suppress…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-06 Wilson Tsakane Mongwe , Rendani Mbuvha , Tshilidzi Marwala

In this work we present a new and efficient Bayesian method for nonlinear three dimensional large scale structure inference. We employ a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampler to obtain samples from a multivariate highly non-Gaussian…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 J. Jasche , F. S. Kitaura

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of Monte Carlo methods that are used to obtain random samples of a high dimensional random variable in a sequential fashion. Many problems encountered in applications often involve different…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-20 Chencheng Cai , Rong Chen , Ming Lin

Bayesian inference methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) typically require repeated computations of the likelihood function, but in some scenarios this is infeasible and alternative methods are needed. Simulation-based inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Linnea M Wolniewicz , Peter Sadowski , Claudio Corti

Due to its constrained support, the Dirichlet distribution is uniquely suited to many applications. The constraints that make it powerful, however, can also hinder practical implementations, particularly those utilizing Markov Chain Monte…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-02 M. J. Betancourt

We propose a new computationally efficient sampling scheme for Bayesian inference involving high dimensional probability distributions. Our method maps the original parameter space into a low-dimensional latent space, explores the latent…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-15 Babak Shahbaba , Luis Martinez Lomeli , Tian Chen , Shiwei Lan

Recent advances in stochastic gradient techniques have made it possible to estimate posterior distributions from large datasets via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, when the target posterior is multimodal, mixing performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-12 Yizhe Zhang , Changyou Chen , Zhe Gan , Ricardo Henao , Lawrence Carin

The Bouncy Particle Sampler is a Markov chain Monte Carlo method based on a nonreversible piecewise deterministic Markov process. In this scheme, a particle explores the state space of interest by evolving according to a linear dynamics…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-24 George Deligiannidis , Daniel Paulin , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Arnaud Doucet

Sampling occupies an important position in theories of various scientific fields, and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides the most common technique of sampling. In the progress of MCMC, a huge number of studies have aimed the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-20 Akihisa Ichiki , Masayuki Ohzeki
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