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Collusion in market pricing is a concept associated with human actions to raise market prices through artificially limited supply. Recently, the idea of algorithmic collusion was put forward, where the human action in the pricing process is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-01-29 Suzie Grondin , Arthur Charpentier , Philipp Ratz

Sustainable energy systems require flexible elements to balance the variability of renewable energy sources. Demand response aims to adapt the demand to the variable generation, in particular by shifting the load in time. In this article,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-04 Chengyuan Han , Dirk Witthaut , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Philipp C. Böttcher

We introduce a new and highly tractable structural model for spot and derivative prices in electricity markets. Using a stochastic model of the bid stack, we translate the demand for power and the prices of generating fuels into electricity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Rene Carmona , Michael Coulon , Daniel Schwarz

Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter

We study a large economy in which firms cannot compute exact solutions to the non-linear equations that characterize the equilibrium price at which they can sell future output. Instead, firms use polynomial expansions to approximate prices.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Wolfgang Kuhle

Electricity market modelling is often used by governments, industry and agencies to explore the development of scenarios over differing timeframes. For example, how would the reduction in cost of renewable energy impact investments in gas…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Alexander J. M. Kell , Matthew Forshaw , A. Stephen McGough

In 2022, energy prices skyrocketed across Europe, with average day-ahead spot market prices in Germany 2.43 times higher than the previous year, hinting at future trends. At the same time, electricity infrastructure is expected to be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-30 Judith Stute , Sabine Pelka , Matthias Kühnbach , Marian Klobasa

We study a competitive electricity market equilibrium with two trading stages, day-ahead and real-time. The welfare of each market agent is exposed to uncertainty (here from renewable energy production), while agent information on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Vladimir Dvorkin , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

The coordinated operation of interconnected but locally controlled electricity markets is generally referred to as a "coupling". In this paper we propose a new mechanism design for efficient coupling of independent electricity markets. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Alfredo Garcia , Roohallah Khatami , Ceyhun Eksin , Furkan Sezer

The conventional practice of retail electric utilities is to aggregate customers geographically. The utility purchases electricity for its customers via bulk transactions on the wholesale market, and it passes these costs along to its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Siddharth Patel , Raffi Sevlian , Baosen Zhang , Ram Rajagopal

This paper focuses on the operation of an electricity market that accounts for participants that bid at a sub-minute timescale. To that end, we model the market-clearing process as a dynamical system, called market dynamics, which is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Pengcheng You , Yan Jiang , Enoch Yeung , Dennice F. Gayme , Enrique Mallada

The integration of renewable energy resources (RES) in the power grid can reduce carbon intensity, but also presents certain challenges. The uncertainty and intermittent nature of RES emphasize the need for flexibility in power systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-18 Shijie Pan , Gerrit Rolofs , Luca Pontecorvi , Charalambos Konstantinou

Frequency dynamics in power systems reflect active power imbalance in real time, thereby providing an instantaneous signal to inform electricity pricing. However, existing real-time markets operate on much slower timescales and fail to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Xinwei Liu , Vladimir Dvorkin

The increasing uptake of residential PV-battery systems is bound to significantly change demand patterns of future power systems and, consequently, their dynamic performance. In this paper, we propose a generic demand model that captures…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Hesamoddin Marzooghi , Shariq Riaz , Gregor Verbic , Archie C. Chapman , David J. Hill

Dynamic pricing is commonly used to regulate congestion in shared service systems. This paper is motivated by the fact that in the presence of users with varying price sensitivity (responsiveness), conventional monotonic pricing can lead to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Yingqing Chen , Anni Li , Christos G. Cassandras , Homayoun Hamedmoghadam , Fabian Wirth , Robert Shorten

There are several approaches to modeling and forecasting time series as applied to prices of commodities and financial assets. One of the approaches is to model the price as a non-stationary time series process with heteroscedastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Andrei Renatovich Batyrov

We propose to study electricity capacity remuneration mechanism design through a Principal-Agent approach. The Principal represents the aggregation of electricity consumers (or a representative entity), subject to the physical risk of…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-02 Clémence Alasseur , Heythem Farhat , Marcelo Saguan

Coordinating the interactions between flexibility assets in multi-carrier integrated energy systems (MIES) can lead to an efficient integration of variable renewable energy resources, and a cost-efficient energy transition. However, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-04 Christian Doh Dinga , Sander van Rijn , Laurens de Vries , Milos Cvetkovic

This paper proposes a novel continuous Local Flexibility Market where active power flexibility located in the distribution system can be traded. The market design engages the Market Operator, the Distribution System Operator and Market…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Aikaterini A. Forouli , Georgios K. Papazoglou , Emmanouil A. Bakirtzis , Pandelis N. Biskas , Anastasios G. Bakirtzis

We develop a tractable equilibrium model for price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. Using stochastic control theory, we identify the optimal strategies of agents with market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi