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A multi-source quickest detection problem is considered. Assume there are two independent Poisson processes $X^{1}$ and $X^{2}$ with disorder times $\theta_{1}$ and $\theta_{2}$, respectively; that is, the intensities of $X^1$ and $X^2$…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper, we present a novel method for computing the asymptotic values of both the optimal threshold, and the probability of success in sequences of optimal stopping problems. This method, based on the resolution of a first-order…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-18 L. Bayón , P. Fortuny , J. M. Grau , A. M. Oller-Marcén , M. M. Ruiz

For a random variable $X$ define $Q(X) = \sup_{x \in \mathbb{R}} \mathbb{P}(X=x)$. Let $X_1, \dots, X_n$ be independent integer random variables. Suppose $Q(X_i) \le \alpha_i \in (0,1]$ for each $i \in \{1, \dots, n\}$. Ju\v{s}kevi\v{c}ius…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Valentas Kurauskas

We study the first passage time $\tau_u = \inf \{ n \geq 1: |V_n| > u \}$ for the multivariate perpetuity sequence $V_n = Q_1 + M_1 Q_2 + \cdots + (M_1 \ldots M_{n-1}) Q_n$, where $(M_n, Q_n)$ is a sequence of independent and identically…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Sebastian Mentemeier , Hui Xiao

When performing maximum-likelihood quantum-state tomography, one must find the quantum state that maximizes the likelihood of the state given observed measurements on identically prepared systems. The optimization is usually performed with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-26 Scott Glancy , Emanuel Knill , Mark Girard

Optimal stopping is the problem of deciding when to stop a stochastic system to obtain the greatest reward, arising in numerous application areas such as finance, healthcare and marketing. State-of-the-art methods for high-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Dragos Florin Ciocan , Velibor V. Mišić

Various voting rules are based on ranking the candidates by scores induced by aggregating voter preferences. A winner (respectively, unique winner) is a candidate who receives a score not smaller than (respectively, strictly greater than)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Aviram Imber , Benny Kimelfeld

Consider the optimal stopping problem of a one-dimensional diffusion with positive discount. Based on Dynkin's characterization of the value as the minimal excessive majorant of the reward and considering its Riesz representation, we give…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-03 Fabián Crocce , Ernesto Mordecki

We study the properties of the free boundaries and the corresponding hitting times in the context of optimal stopping in discrete time. We first prove the continuity of the map from the boundaries to the expected value of the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 H. Mete Soner , Valentin Tissot-Daguette

Various optimality properties of universal sequence predictors based on Bayes-mixtures in general, and Solomonoff's prediction scheme in particular, will be studied. The probability of observing $x_t$ at time $t$, given past observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

Let $\{Z(\tau,s), (\tau,s)\in [a,b]\times[0,T]\}$ with some positive constants $a,b,T$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)$ satisfying $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)=\sigma^{2}(\tau)$. We firstly derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Zhongquan Tan , Shengchao Zheng

Maximum subarray is a classical problem in computer science that given an array of numbers aims to find a contiguous subarray with the largest sum. We focus on its use for a noisy statistical problem of localizing an interval with a mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Dennis Wei , Dmitry M. Malioutov

We consider the representation of the value of an optimal stopping problem of a linear diffusion as an expected supremum of a known function. We establish an explicit integral representation of this function by utilizing the explicitly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-08 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Pekka Matomäki

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

In this paper, we introduce a modification of the free boundary problem related to optimal stopping problems for diffusion processes. This modification allows the application of this PDE method in cases where the usual regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ludger Rüschendorf , Mikhail A. Urusov

We use martingale and stochastic analysis techniques to study a continuous-time optimal stopping problem, in which the decision maker uses a dynamic convex risk measure to evaluate future rewards. We also find a saddle point for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Ioannis Karatzas , Song Yao

In this paper, we study the Maximum Profit Pick-up Problem with Time Windows and Capacity Constraint (MP-PPTWC). Our main results are 3 polynomial time algorithms, all having constant approximation factors. The first algorithm has an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Bogdan Armaselu , Ovidiu Daescu

In Robbins' problem of minimizing the expected rank, a finite sequence of $n$ independent, identically distributed random variables are observed sequentially and the objective is to stop at such a time that the expected rank of the selected…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Pieter C. Allaart , Andrew Allen

In this paper we focus on a general type of mean-field stochastic control problem with partial observation, in which the coefficients depend in a non-linear way not only on the state process $X_t$ and its control $u_t$ but also on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Juan Li , Hao Liang , Chao Mi

We address the problem of finding worst-case nonparametric bounds for T-statistic by considering the extremal problem of maximising the mid-quantile (a special case of 'smoothed quantile' as discussed in \cite{St77} and \cite{W11}) $\tilde…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 David Edelman