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Sequential Bayesian optimal experimental design (SBOED) for PDE-governed inverse problems is computationally challenging, especially for infinite-dimensional random field parameters. High-fidelity approaches require repeated forward and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Kaichen Shen , Peng Chen

Two-phase designs measure variables of interest on a subcohort where the outcome and covariates are readily available or cheap to collect on all individuals in the cohort. Given limited resource availability, it is of interest to find an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Tong Chen , Thomas Lumley

This paper considers the optimal adaptive allocation of measurement effort for identifying the best among a finite set of options or designs. An experimenter sequentially chooses designs to measure and observes noisy signals of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Daniel Russo

An efficient algorithm for the determination of Bayesian optimal discriminating designs for competing regression models is developed, where the main focus is on models with general distributional assumptions beyond the "classical" case of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-04 Holger Dette , Roman Guchenko , Viatcheslav B. Melas

Experimental design is central to science and engineering. A ubiquitous challenge is how to maximize the value of information obtained from expensive or constrained experimental settings. Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Sofia Mäkinen , Andrew B. Duncan , Tapio Helin

A model-based optimal experiment design (OED) of nonlinear systems is studied. OED represents a methodology for optimizing the geometry of the parametric joint-confidence regions (CRs), which are obtained in an a posteriori analysis of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Anwesh Reddy Gottu Mukkula , Radoslav Paulen

Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods tackle complex scientific models with challenging inverse problems. However, SBI models often face a significant hurdle due to their non-differentiable nature, which hampers the use of gradient-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Vincent D. Zaballa , Elliot E. Hui

We present a mathematical framework and computational methods to optimally design a finite number of sequential experiments. We formulate this sequential optimal experimental design (sOED) problem as a finite-horizon partially observable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Wanggang Shen , Xun Huan

In the present paper we consider design criteria which depend on several designs simultaneously. We formulate equivalence theorems based on moment matrices (if criteria depend on designs via moment matrices) or with respect to the designs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Maryna Prus

Among the major difficulties that one may encounter when estimating parameters in a nonlinear regression model are the nonuniqueness of the estimator, its instability with respect to small perturbations of the observations and the presence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Andrej Pázman , Luc Pronzato

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We introduce Bayesian optimization, a technique developed for optimizing time-consuming engineering simulations and for fitting machine learning models on large datasets. Bayesian optimization guides the choice of experiments during…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Peter I. Frazier , Jialei Wang

We consider constrained sampling problems in paid research studies or clinical trials. When qualified volunteers are more than the budget allowed, we recommend a D-optimal sampling strategy based on the optimal design theory and develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Yifei Huang , Liping Tong , Jie Yang

Most bandit algorithm designs are purely theoretical. Therefore, they have strong regret guarantees, but also are often too conservative in practice. In this work, we pioneer the idea of algorithm design by minimizing the empirical Bayes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-12 Chih-Wei Hsu , Branislav Kveton , Ofer Meshi , Martin Mladenov , Csaba Szepesvari

Learning with rejection is an important framework that can refrain from making predictions to avoid critical mispredictions by balancing between prediction and rejection. Previous studies on cost-based rejection only focused on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Xin Cheng , Yuzhou Cao , Haobo Wang , Hongxin Wei , Bo An , Lei Feng

The subject of this work is two treatment groups random coefficient regression models, in which observational units receive some group-specific treatments. We provide A- and D-optimality criteria for the estimation of the fixed parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Maryna Prus

Due to the increasing demand for high performance and cost reduction within the framework of complex system design, numerical optimization of computationally costly problems is an increasingly popular topic in most engineering fields. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Julien Pelamatti , Loïc Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Yannick Guerin

Bayesian optimization works effectively optimizing parameters in black-box problems. However, this method did not work for high-dimensional parameters in limited trials. Parameters can be efficiently explored by nonlinearly embedding them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Shoki Miyagawa , Atsuyoshi Yano , Naoko Sawada , Isamu Ogawa

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

The F-measure, which has originally been introduced in information retrieval, is nowadays routinely used as a performance metric for problems such as binary classification, multi-label classification, and structured output prediction.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-09 Willem Waegeman , Krzysztof Dembczynski , Arkadiusz Jachnik , Weiwei Cheng , Eyke Hullermeier