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A minimal requirement for simulating multi-scale systems is to reproduce the statistical behavior of the slow variables. In particular, a good numerical method should accurately aproximate the probability density function of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-13 J. Frank , G. A. Gottwald

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

This paper considers the problem of inliers and empty cells and the resulting issue of relative inefficiency in estimation under pure samples from a discrete population when the sample size is small. Many minimum divergence estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Reliable inference of system degradation from sensor data is fundamental to condition monitoring and prognostics in mechanical and infrastructural systems. Since degradation is rarely directly observable and measurable, it must be inferred…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Mengjie Zhao , Olga Fink

In this paper we study the theoretical properties of the simultaneous multiscale change point estimator (SMUCE) proposed by Frick et al. (2014) in regression models with dependent error processes. Empirical studies show that in this case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Holger Dette , Theresa Schüler , Mathias Vetter

We consider the problem of signal estimation (denoising) from a statistical mechanical perspective, using a relationship between the minimum mean square error (MMSE), of estimating a signal, and the mutual information between this signal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav , Dongning Guo , Shlomo Shamai

Traditional statistical inference considers relatively small data sets and the corresponding theoretical analysis focuses on the asymptotic behavior of a statistical estimator when the number of samples approaches infinity. However, many…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-03 Jon Wellner , Tong Zhang

We consider continuous-time sparse stochastic processes from which we have only a finite number of noisy/noiseless samples. Our goal is to estimate the noiseless samples (denoising) and the signal in-between (interpolation problem). By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Arash Amini , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , Emrah Bostan , Michael Unser

We study the problem of finding the index of the minimum value of a vector from noisy observations. This problem is relevant in population/policy comparison, discrete maximum likelihood, and model selection. We develop an asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Tianyu Zhang , Hao Lee , Jing Lei

We consider the limiting behavior of fluctuations of small noise diffusions with multiple scales around their homogenized deterministic limit. We allow full dependence of the coefficients on the slow and fast motion. These processes arise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

We deal with parametric estimation for a parabolic linear second order stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with a small dispersion parameter based on high frequency data which are observed in time and space. By using the thinned…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

Diffusion models have revolutionized various application domains, including computer vision and audio generation. Despite the state-of-the-art performance, diffusion models are known for their slow sample generation due to the extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Zehao Dou , Minshuo Chen , Mengdi Wang , Zhuoran Yang

We consider statistics for stochastic evolution equations in Hilbert space with emphasis on stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We observe a solution process under additional measurement errors and want to estimate a real or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Gregor Pasemann , Markus Reiß

We study the large deviations principle for locally periodic stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. There are three possible regimes depending on how fast the intensity of the noise goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We address the problem of parameter estimation for degenerate diffusion processes defined via the solution of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with diffusion matrix that is not full-rank. For this class of hypo-elliptic diffusions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

There are many models, often called unnormalized models, whose normalizing constants are not calculated in closed form. Maximum likelihood estimation is not directly applicable to unnormalized models. Score matching, contrastive divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-27 Masatoshi Uehara , Takeru Matsuda , Fumiyasu Komaki

A simple model of an irreversible process is introduced. The equation of iterations in the model includes a noise generation term. We study the properties of the system when the noise generation term is a stochastic process (e.g. a random…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. A. Sozanski , J. J. Zebrowski

Recovering continuous-time dynamics from discrete observations is difficult because local supervision (e.g., pointwise regression targets, derivative approximations, or equation residuals) loses fidelity as the observation interval grows.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuxiang Luo , Andrew Perrault