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In many longitudinal settings, economic theory does not guide practitioners on the type of restrictions that must be imposed to solve the rotational indeterminacy of factor-augmented linear models. We study this problem and offer several…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-03-08 Matthew Harding , Carlos Lamarche , Chris Muris

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

This paper presents a pre-processing and a distance which improve the performance of machine learning algorithms working on independent and identically distributed stochastic processes. We introduce a novel non-parametric approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-04 Gautier Marti , Philippe Very , Philippe Donnat

This study proposes a novel method for forecasting a scalar variable based on high-dimensional predictors that is applicable to various data distributions. In the literature, one of the popular approaches for forecasting with many…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-28 Seeun Park , Hee-Seok Oh , Yaeji Lim

We present results for long term and intermediate term prediction algorithms applied to a simple mechanical model of a fault. We use long term prediction methods based, for example, on the distribution of repeat times between large events…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 S. L. Pepke , J. M. Carlson , B. E. Shaw

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

Determining the number of factors in high-dimensional factor modeling is essential but challenging, especially when the data are heavy-tailed. In this paper, we introduce a new estimator based on the spectral properties of Spearman sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Jiaxin Qiu , Zeng Li , Jianfeng Yao

We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data, which arise from complex problem-solving items, an emerging testing mode in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Fangyi Chen , Hok Kan Ling , Zhiliang Ying

Nonparametric estimation of the mean and covariance functions is ubiquitous in functional data analysis and local linear smoothing techniques are most frequently used. Zhang and Wang (2016) explored different types of asymptotic properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Shaojun Guo , Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Yizhu Wang

In dealing with high-dimensional data sets, factor models are often useful for dimension reduction. The estimation of factor models has been actively studied in various fields. In the first part of this paper, we present a new approach to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Joongyeub Yeo , George Papanicolaou

This paper presents a factor analysis model for symbolic data, focusing on the particular case of interval-valued variables. The proposed method describes the correlation structure among the measured interval-valued variables in terms of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-15 Paula Cheira , Paula Brito , A. Pedro Duarte Silva

A central task in the analysis of human movement behavior is to determine systematic patterns and differences across experimental conditions, participants and repetitions. This is possible because human movement is highly regular, being…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-23 Lars Lau Raket , Britta Grimme , Gregor Schöner , Christian Igel , Bo Markussen

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

This paper proposes a quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimator for break points in high-dimensional factor models, specifically accounting for multiple structural breaks. We begin by establishing a necessary and sufficient condition to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-20 Jiangtao Duan , Jushan Bai , Xu Han

We consider the problem of estimating the common time of a change in the mean parameters of panel data when dependence is allowed between the panels in the form of a common factor. A CUSUM type estimator is proposed, and we establish first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Gregory Rice , Jia Wang

This paper studies nonstationary open dynamical systems from the statistical viewpoint. By open, we mean that trajectories may escape through holes in the phase space. By nonstationary, we mean that the dynamical model itself (as well as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Brett Geiger , William Ott

We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-08 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

Many physical datasets are generated by collections of instruments that make measurements at regular time intervals. For such regular monitoring data, we extend the framework of half-spectral covariance functions to the case of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Christopher J. Geoga , Mihai Anitescu , Michael L. Stein

We propose a combination of cluster analysis and stochastic process analysis to characterize high-dimensional complex dynamical systems by few dominating variables. As an example, stock market data are analyzed for which the dynamical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-10 Philip Rinn , Yuriy Stepanov , Joachim Peinke , Thomas Guhr , Rudi Schäfer