Related papers: Extending the scope of the small-ball method

Let $S=\sum_{i=1}^{+\infty}\lambda_{i}Z_{i}$ where the $Z_{i}$'s are i.d.d. positive with $\mathbb{E}\| Z\| ^{3}<+\infty$ and $(\lambda_{i})_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ a positive nonincreasing sequence such that $\sum\lambda_{i}<+\infty$. We study…

Let $F$ be a class of functions on a probability space $(\Omega,\mu)$ and let $X_1,...,X_k$ be independent random variables distributed according to $\mu$. We establish high probability tail estimates of the form $\sup_{f \in F} |\{i :…

We prove a new variant of comparison principle for logarithmic $L_2$-small ball probabilities of Gaussian processes. As an application, we obtain logarithmic small ball asymptotics for some well-known processes with smooth covariances.

The delta method is a popular and elementary tool for deriving limiting distributions of transformed statistics, while applications of asymptotic distributions do not allow one to obtain desirable accuracy of approximation for tail…

Approximating integrals is a fundamental task in probability theory and statistical inference, and their applied fields of signal processing, and Bayesian learning, as soon as expectations over probability distributions must be computed…

We introduce a new approach to the the asymptotic iteration method (AIM) by means of which we establish the standard AIM connection with the continued fractions technique and we develop a novel termination condition in terms of the…

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

There are many ways of establishing upper bounds on fluctuations of random variables, but there is no systematic approach for lower bounds. As a result, lower bounds are unknown in many important problems. This paper introduces a general…

This article is a survey of the results on asymptotic behavior of small ball probabilities in $L_2$-norm. Recent progress in this field is mainly based on the methods of spectral theory of differential and integral operators.

This paper considers the estimation and inference of the low-rank components in high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models, where each dimension of the matrix-variates ($p \times q$) is comparable to or greater than the number of…

In the last fifteen the subset sampling method has often been used in reliability problems as a tool for calculating small probabilities. This method is extrapolating from an initial Monte Carlo estimate for the probability content of a…

This note contains two types of small ball estimates for random vectors in finite dimensional spaces equipped with a quasi-norm. In the first part, we obtain bounds for the small ball probability of random vectors under some smoothness…

Let $A$ be an $n\times n$ random matrix with i.i.d. entries of zero mean, unit variance and a bounded subgaussian moment. We show that the condition number $s_{\max}(A)/s_{\min}(A)$ satisfies the small ball probability estimate $${\mathbb…

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using…

Physics-informed statistical learning (PISL) integrates empirical data with physical knowledge to enhance the statistical performance of estimators. While PISL methods are widely used in practice, a comprehensive theoretical understanding…

We introduce a new variational method for the study of stability in the isoperimetric inequality. The method is quite general as it relies on a penalization technique combined with the regularity theory for quasiminimizers of the perimeter.…

We derive an upper bound on the size of a ball such that the image of the ball under quadratic map is strongly convex and smooth. Our result is the best possible improvement of the analogous result by Polyak in the case of quadratic map. We…

We describe a hierarchical Bayesian approach for inference about a parameter $\theta$ lower-bounded by $\alpha$ with uncertain $\alpha$, derive some basic identities for posterior analysis about $(\theta,\alpha)$, and provide illustrations…

We present a new inductive rule for verifying lower bounds on expected values of random variables after execution of probabilistic loops as well as on their expected runtimes. Our rule is simple in the sense that loop body semantics need to…

We study an urn process with two urns, initialized with a ball each. Balls are added sequentially, the urn being chosen independently with probability proportional to the $\alpha^{th}$ power $(\alpha >1)$ of the existing number of balls. We…