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We study the behavior of an infinite system of ordinary differential equations modeling the dynamics of a metapopulation, a set of (discrete) populations subject to local catastrophes and connected via migration under a mean field rule; the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. D. Barbour , A. Pugliese

We study the long-time dynamics in non-Markovian single-population stochastic models, where one or more reactions are modelled as a stochastic process with a fat-tailed non-exponential distribution of waiting times, mimicking long-term…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-05 Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

This work is devoted to the study of a stochastic logistic growth model with and without the Allee effect. Such a model describes the evolution of a population under environmental stochastic fluctuations and is in the form of a stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-05 Almaz Tesfay , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan , Jinqiao Duan

The aim of this paper is to tackle part of the program set by Diekmann et al. in their seminal paper Diekmann et al. (2001). We quote "It remains to investigate whether, and in what sense, the nonlinear determin-istic model formulation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Philippe Carmona

The question of whether biological populations survive or are eventually driven to extinction has long been examined using mathematical models. In this work we study population survival or extinction using a stochastic, discrete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Yifei Li , Stuart T. Johnston , Pascal R. Buenzli , Peter van Heijster , Matthew J. Simpson

Motivated by modeling the dynamics of a population living in a flowing medium where the environmental factors are random in space, we have studied an asymmetric variant of the one-dimensional contact process, where the quenched random…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-16 Róbert Juhász

Phenotypically structured equations arise in population biology to describe the interaction of species with their environment that brings the nutrients. This interaction usually leads to selection of the fittest individuals. Models used in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Alexander Lorz , Benoit Perthame

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

The population size has far-reaching effects on the fitness of the population, that, in its turn influences the population extinction or persistence. Understanding the density- and age-dependent factors will facilitate more accurate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Jonathan Andersson , Vladimir Kozlov , Vladimir G. Tkachev , Sonja Radosavljevic , Uno Wennergren

Consider an epidemic model with a constant flux of susceptibles, in a situation where the corresponding deterministic epidemic model has a unique stable endemic equilibrium. For the associated stochastic model, whose law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-06 Etienne Pardoux

Population genetics struggles to model extinction; standard models track the relative rather than absolute fitness of genotypes, while the exceptions describe only the short-term transition from imminent doom to evolutionary rescue. But…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jason Bertram , Kevin Gomez , Joanna Masel

This paper considers a two-dimensional logistic model to study populations with two genders. The growth behavior of a population is guided by two coupled ordinary differential equations given by a non-differentiable vector field whose…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-05 Eduardo Garibaldi , Marcelo Sobottka

We study self-organization in a minimally nonlinear model of large random ecosystems. Populations evolve over time according to a piecewise linear system of ordinary differential equations subject to a non-negativity constraint resulting in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-01-05 Frederik J. Thomsen , Johan L. A. Dubbeldam , Rudolf Hanel

The extinction of species is a core process that affects the diversity of life on Earth. One way of investigating the causes and consequences of extinctions is to build conceptual ecological models, and to use the dynamical outcomes of such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-28 Sergey A. Vakulenko , Ivan Sudakov , Luke Mander

Continuum models for the spatial dynamics of growing cell populations have been widely used to investigate the mechanisms underpinning tissue development and tumour invasion. These models consist of nonlinear partial differential equations…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-15 Mark AJ Chaplain , Tommaso Lorenzi , Fiona R Macfarlane

This paper explores a stochastic Gause predator-prey model with bounded or sub-linear functional response. The model, described by a system of stochastic differential equations, captures the influence of stochastic fluctuations on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Leon Alexander Valencia , Ph. D , Jorge Mario Ramirez Osorio , Jorge Andres Sanchez

Infinitely many distinct trait values may arise in populations bearing quantitative traits, and modeling their population dynamics is thus a formidable task. While classical models assume fixed or infinite population size, models in which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-08 Ananda Shikhara Bhat

We show that a simple nonlinear differential equation (originally studied in the physics of disordered systems) is able to mathematically describe the global population growth over the past 12000 years. Different regimes of population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Alessio Zaccone , Kostya Trachenko

In this paper, we formulate a stochastic logistic fish growth model driven by both white noise and non-Gaussian noise. We focus our study on the mean time to extinction, escape probability to measure the noise-induced extinction probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-03 A. Tesfay , D. Tesfay , A. Khalaf , J. Brannan

Competitive birth-death processes often exhibit an oscillatory behavior. We investigate a particular case where the oscillation cycles are marginally stable on the mean-field level. An iconic example of such a system is the Lotka-Volterra…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Matthew Parker , Alex Kamenev
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