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Stochasticity can play an important role in the dynamics of biologically relevant populations. These span a broad range of scales: from intra-cellular populations of molecules to population of cells and then to groups of plants, animals and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

In the long run, the eventual extinction of any biological population is an inevitable outcome. While extensive research has focused on the average time it takes for a population to go extinct under various circumstances, there has been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-18 David Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

We study a generic reaction-diffusion model for single-species population dynamics that includes reproduction, death, and competition. The population is assumed to be confined in a refuge beyond which conditions are so harsh that they lead…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 C. Escudero , J. Buceta , F. J. de la Rubia , Katja Lindenberg

This paper investigates a nonlinear logistic model for age-structured population dynamics. The model incorporates interdependent fertility and mortality functions within a logistic framework, offering insights into stationary solutions and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Dragos-Patru Covei

The dynamics of species' densities depend both on internal and external variables. Internal variables include frequencies of individuals exhibiting different phenotypes or living in different spatial locations. External variables include…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-28 Michel Benaïm , Sebastian J. Schreiber

Populations are made up of an integer number of individuals and are subject to stochastic birth-death processes whose rates may vary in time. Useful quantities, like the chance of ultimate fixation, satisfy an appropriate difference…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Jayant Pande , Nadav M. Shnerb

We consider a general class of Markovian models describing the growth in a randomly fluctuating environment of a clonal biological population having several phenotypes related by stochastic switching. Phenotypes differ e.g. by the level of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-25 J. Unterberger

The present paper is devoted to the study of the long term dynamics of diffusion processes modelling a single species that experiences both demographic and environmental stochasticity. In our setting, the long term dynamics of the diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Alexandru Hening , Weiwei Qi , Zhongwei Shen , Yingfei Yi

The extinction of a single species due to demographic stochasticity is analyzed. The discrete nature of the individual agents and the Poissonian noise related to the birth-death processes result in local extinction of a metastable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

In recent years non-demographic variability has been shown to greatly affect dynamics of stochastic populations. For example, non-demographic noise in the form of a bursty reproduction process with an a-priori unknown burst size, or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-13 Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

Stochastic models play an essential role in accounting for the variability and unpredictability seen in real-world. This paper focuses on the application of the gamma distribution to analysis of the stationary distributions of populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-18 Haiyan Wang

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

We investigate extinction of a long-lived self-regulating stochastic population, caused by intrinsic (demographic) noise. Extinction typically occurs via one of two scenarios depending on whether the absorbing state n=0 is a repelling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

We consider a nonlinear coupled discrete-time model of population dynamics. This model describes the movement of populations within a heterogeneous landscape, where the growth of subpopulations are modelled by (possibly different) bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Blake McGrane-Corrigan , Oliver Mason , Rafael de Andrade Moral

We study an ecology-inspired model for a population of bounded size, whose dynamics is governed by random birth, death, and immigration events. Stochastic fluctuations in the number of individuals give rise to a succession of alternating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Lucas M. Brugevin , Damián H. Zanette

Methods for predicting the probability and timing of a species' extinction are typically based on a combination of theoretical models and empirical data, and focus on single species population dynamics. Of course, species also interact with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-11 Gian Marco Palamara , Gustav W. Delius , Matthew J. Smith , Owen L. Petchey

We consider the extinction regime in the spatial stochastic logistic model in $\mathbb{R}^d$ (a.k.a. Bolker--Pacala--Dieckmann--Law model of spatial populations) using the first-order perturbation beyond the mean-field equation. In space…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Dmitri Finkelshtein

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

In this study, spatial stochastic and logistic model (SSLM) describing dynamics of a population of a certain species was analysed. The behaviour of the extinction threshold as a function of model parameters was studied. More specifically,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-28 Yevheniia Soroka , Bogdan Rublyov