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Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

This work is concerned with the stability properties of linear stochastic differential equations with random (drift and diffusion) coefficient matrices, and the stability of a corresponding random transition matrix (or exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation for threshold Ornstein$\mathit{-}$Uhlenbeck processes. Least squares method is used to obtain continuous-type and discrete-type estimators for the drift parameters based on continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Yuecai Han , Dingwen Zhang

In this paper, we introduce a novel approach to study reaction-diffusion systems -- dynamic transition theory approach developed in Ma and Wang 2015. This approach generalizes Turing's classical result (linear stability analysis) on pattern…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Xige Yang , Dapeng Li

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

We examine characteristic properties of deterministic and stochastic diffusion in low-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems. As an example, we consider a periodic array of scatterers defined by a simple chaotic map on the line. Adding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Klages

Diffusion models for continuous state spaces based on Gaussian noising processes are now relatively well understood from both practical and theoretical perspectives. In contrast, results for diffusion models on discrete state spaces remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus , Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Gael Raoul

In this paper, we study the alternating direction method for finding the Dantzig selectors, which are first introduced in [8]. In particular, at each iteration we apply the nonmonotone gradient method proposed in [17] to approximately solve…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-23 Zhaosong Lu , Ting Kei Pong , Yong Zhang

According to a theorem of S. Schumacher, for a diffusion X in an environment determined by a stable process that belongs to an appropriate class and has index a, it holds that X_t/(log t)^a converges in distribution, as t goes to infinity,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Dimitrios Cheliotis

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

Limited by the encoder-decoder architecture, learning-based edge detectors usually have difficulty predicting edge maps that satisfy both correctness and crispness. With the recent success of the diffusion probabilistic model (DPM), we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Yunfan Ye , Kai Xu , Yuhang Huang , Renjiao Yi , Zhiping Cai

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

We develop a Bayesian inference method for diffusions observed discretely and with noise, which is free of discretisation bias. Unlike existing unbiased inference methods, our method does not rely on exact simulation techniques. Instead,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Neil K. Chada , Jordan Franks , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Matti Vihola

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

In this article, a discrete analogue of continuous Teissier distribution is presented. Its several important distributional characteristics have been derived. The estimation of the unknown parameter has been done using the method of maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Bhupendra Singh , Varun Agiwal , Ravindra Pratap Singh , Abhishek Tyagi

This paper deals with the problem of outliers in high frequency observation data from diffusion processes. Robust estimation methods are needed because the inclusion of outliers can lead to incorrect statistical inference even in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yusuke Shimizu

Bayesian inference for nonlinear diffusions, observed at discrete times, is a challenging task that has prompted the development of a number of algorithms, mainly within the computational statistics community. We propose a new direction,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-11 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery , Alexandros Beskos
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