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Recent work has discussed the importance of multiplicative closure for the Markov models used in phylogenetics. For continuous-time Markov chains, a sufficient condition for multiplicative closure of a model class is ensured by demanding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-24 Jeremy Sumner , Jesus Fernandez-Sanchez , Peter Jarvis

We prove that the probability substitution matrices obtained from a continuous-time Markov chain form a multiplicatively closed set if and only if the rate matrices associated to the chain form a linear space spanning a Lie algebra. The key…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Jeremy G Sumner

Continuous-time Markov chains are a standard tool in phylogenetic inference. If homogeneity is assumed, the chain is formulated by specifying time-independent rates of substitutions between states in the chain. In applications, there are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-26 Jesús Fernández-Sánchez , Jeremy G. Sumner , Peter D. Jarvis , Michael D. Woodhams

We extend the Markov chain tree theorem to general commutative semirings, and we generalize the state reduction algorithm to commutative semifields. This leads to a new universal algorithm, whose prototype is the state reduction algorithm…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Buket Benek Gursoy , Steve Kirkland , Oliver Mason , Sergei Sergeev

The embedding problem of Markov transition matrices into continuous-time Markov semigroups is a classic problem that regained a lot of impetus and activities in recent years. We consider it here for the following generalisation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Ellen Baake , Michael Baake

A group is Markov if it admits a prefix-closed regular language of unique representatives with respect to some generating set, and strongly Markov if it admits such a language of unique minimal-length representatives over every generating…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Alan J. Cain , Victor Maltcev

We consider a generational and continuous-time two-phase model of the cell cycle. The first model is given by a stochastic operator, and the second by a piecewise deterministic Markov process. In the second case we also introduce a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Katarzyna Pichór , Ryszard Rudnicki

The article presents a general discrete time dividend valuation model when the dividend growth rate is a general continuous variable. The main assumption is that the dividend growth rate follows a discrete time semi-Markov chain with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Guglielmo D'Amico

In this paper, we outline a model of graph (or network) dynamics based on two ingredients. The first ingredient is a Markov chain on the space of possible graphs. The second ingredient is a semi-Markov counting process of renewal type. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Marco Raberto , Fabio Rapallo , Enrico Scalas

We show that if a product system comes from a quantum Markov semigroup, then it carries a natural Borel structure with respect to which the semigroup may be realized in terms of a measurable representation. We show, too, that the dual…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul S. Muhly , Baruch Solel

The variability of structure in a finite Markov equivalence class of causally sufficient models represented by directed acyclic graphs has been fully characterized. Without causal sufficiency, an infinite semi-Markov equivalence class of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Benoit Desjardins

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

The probabilistic description of finite classical systems often leads to linear kinetic equations. A set of physically motivated mathematical requirements is accordingly formulated. We show that it necessarily implies that solutions of such…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-11-06 Constantinos Tzanakis , Alkis P. Grecos

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

In the last years, many authors studied a class of continuous time semi-Markov processes obtained by time-changing Markov processes by hitting times of independent subordinators. Such processes are governed by integro-differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Angelica Pachon , Federico Polito , Costantino Ricciuti

Multistate Markov models are a canonical parametric approach for data modeling of observed or latent stochastic processes supported on a finite state space. Continuous-time Markov processes describe data that are observed irregularly over…

In this paper we propose a semi-Markov modulated model of interest rates. We assume that the switching process is a semi-Markov process with finite state space E and the modulated process is a diffusive process. We derive recursive…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-12 Guglielmo D'Amico , Raimondo Manca , Giovanni Salvi

We consider Hidden Markov Models that emit sequences of observations that are drawn from continuous distributions. For example, such a model may emit a sequence of numbers, each of which is drawn from a uniform distribution, but the support…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Oscar Darwin , Stefan Kiefer

Product-form stationary distributions in Markov chains have been a foundational advance and driving force in our understanding of stochastic systems. In this paper, we introduce a new product-form relationship that we call "graph-based…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Céline Comte , Isaac Grosof
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