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We propose a machine-learning tool that yields causal inference on text in randomized trials. Based on a simple econometric framework in which text may capture outcomes of interest, our procedure addresses three questions: First, is the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Iman Modarressi , Jann Spiess , Amar Venugopal

Methods to identify cause-effect relationships currently mostly assume the variables to be scalar random variables. However, in many fields the objects of interest are vectors or groups of scalar variables. We present a new constraint-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Jonas Wahl , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

Script knowledge plays a central role in text understanding and is relevant for a variety of downstream tasks. In this paper, we consider two recent datasets which provide a rich and general representation of script events in terms of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Simon Ostermann , Michael Roth , Stefan Thater , Manfred Pinkal

Existing neural response generation models have achieved impressive improvements for two-party conversations, which assume that utterances are sequentially organized. However, many real-world dialogues involve multiple interlocutors and the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Tianhao Dai , Chengyu Huang , Lizi Liao

The causal assumptions, the study design and the data are the elements required for scientific inference in empirical research. The research is adequately communicated only if all of these elements and their relations are described…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-01 Juha Karvanen

Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-15 David Strieder , Tobias Freidling , Stefan Haffner , Mathias Drton

Generating a long, coherent text such as a paragraph requires a high-level control of different levels of relations between sentences (e.g., tense, coreference). We call such a logical connection between sentences as a (paragraph) flow. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-02 Dongyeop Kang , Hiroaki Hayashi , Alan W Black , Eduard Hovy

Recent large vision-language models have achieved strong performance on short- and medium-length video understanding, yet they remain inadequate for ultra-long or even infinite video reasoning, where models must preserve coherent memory…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Peizheng Yan , Yu Zhao , Liang Xie , Juntong Qi , Mingming Wang , Erwei Yin

Event correlation reasoning infers whether a natural language paragraph containing multiple events conforms to human common sense. For example, "Andrew was very drowsy, so he took a long nap, and now he is very alert" is sound and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Yucheng Zhou , Xiubo Geng , Tao Shen , Guodong Long , Daxin Jiang

Current methods for textual analysis rely on data annotated within predefined ontologies, often embedding human bias within black-box models. Despite achieving near-perfect performance, these approaches exploit unstructured, linear pattern…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Diego Revilla , Martin Fernandez-de-Retana , Lingfeng Chen , Aritz Bilbao-Jayo , Miguel Fernandez-de-Retana

We are interested in learning causal relationships between pairs of random variables, purely from observational data. To effectively address this task, the state-of-the-art relies on strong assumptions regarding the mechanisms mapping…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-09-16 David Lopez-Paz , Krikamol Muandet , Benjamin Recht

Animals exhibit an innate ability to learn regularities of the world through interaction. By performing experiments in their environment, they are able to discern the causal factors of variation and infer how they affect the world's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Sumedh A. Sontakke , Arash Mehrjou , Laurent Itti , Bernhard Schölkopf

Story generation is a task that aims to automatically produce multiple sentences to make up a meaningful story. This task is challenging because it requires high-level understanding of semantic meaning of sentences and causality of story…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Hong Chen , Raphael Shu , Hiroya Takamura , Hideki Nakayama

Identifying the causal structure of systems with multiple dynamic elements is critical to several scientific disciplines. The conventional approach is to conduct statistical tests of causality, for example with Granger Causality, between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Jacek P. Dmochowski

We investigate neural models' ability to capture lexicosyntactic inferences: inferences triggered by the interaction of lexical and syntactic information. We take the task of event factuality prediction as a case study and build a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-08-21 Aaron Steven White , Rachel Rudinger , Kyle Rawlins , Benjamin Van Durme

Provenance, or information about the sources, derivation, custody or history of data, has been studied recently in a number of contexts, including databases, scientific workflows and the Semantic Web. Many provenance mechanisms have been…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-06-09 James Cheney

As neuroscientists we want to understand how causal interactions or mechanisms within the brain give rise to perception, cognition, and behavior. It is typical to estimate interaction effects from measured activity using statistical…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-26 David Marc Anton Mehler , Konrad Paul Kording

We propose an abductive diagnosis theory that integrates probabilistic, causal and taxonomic knowledge. Probabilistic knowledge allows us to select the most likely explanation; causal knowledge allows us to make reasonable independence…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Dekang Lin , Randy Goebel

Understanding how ideas relate to each other is a fundamental question in many domains, ranging from intellectual history to public communication. Because ideas are naturally embedded in texts, we propose the first framework to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Chenhao Tan , Dallas Card , Noah A. Smith

Sound educational policy recommendations require valid estimates of causal effects, but observational studies in physics education research sometimes have loosely specified causal hypotheses. The connections between the observational data…

Physics Education · Physics 2021-09-22 M. B. Weissman