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This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

In this paper, we consider the sublinear expectation on bounded random variables. With the notion of uncorrelatedness for random variables under the sublinear expectation, a weak law of large numbers is obtained. With the notion of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Wenhao Li , Chuanfeng Sun

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is esablished. A set of combinations of expectation values whose value does not in general depend…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-05 Paolo Rossi

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

We extend Fano's inequality, which controls the average probability of events in terms of the average of some $f$--divergences, to work with arbitrary events (not necessarily forming a partition) and even with arbitrary $[0,1]$--valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Sebastien Gerchinovitz , Pierre Ménard , Gilles Stoltz

In computational social choice, the distortion of a voting rule quantifies the degree to which the rule overcomes limited preference information to select a socially desirable outcome. This concept has been investigated extensively, but…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Gregory Kehne , Ariel D. Procaccia , Ben Schiffer , Shirley Zhang

This paper gives upper and lower bounds on the gap in Jensen's inequality, i.e., the difference between the expected value of a function of a random variable and the value of the function at the expected value of the random variable. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Xiang Gao , Meera Sitharam , Adrian E. Roitberg

We consider the egalitarian welfare aspects of random assignment mechanisms when agents have unrestricted cardinal utilities over the objects. We give bounds on how well different random assignment mechanisms approximate the optimal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-27 Haris Aziz , Jiashu Chen , Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Simon Mackenzie , Nicholas Mattei

Change of measure inequalities translate divergences between probability measures into explicit bounds on event probabilities, and play an important role in deriving probabilistic guarantees in learning theory, information theory, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Yanxiao Liu , Yijun Fan , Deniz Gündüz

We obtain the best possible upper bounds for the moments of a single order statistic from independent, non-negative random variables, in terms of the population mean. The main result covers the independent identically distributed case.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Nickos Papadatos

Analysis of experimental data must sometimes deal with abrupt changes in the distribution of measured values. Setting upper limits on signals usually involves a veto procedure that excludes data not described by an assumed statistical…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-03-20 Vladimir Dergachev

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

We examine the relationship between the mutual information between the output model and the empirical sample and the generalization of the algorithm in the context of stochastic convex optimization. Despite increasing interest in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Roi Livni

Selection, the tendency of some traits to become more frequent than others in a population under the influence of some (natural or artificial) agency, is a key component of Darwinian evolution and countless other natural and social…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-24 Matteo Smerlak , Ahmed Youssef

The controlled branching process is a generalization of the classical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson branching process. It is a useful model for describing the evolution of populations in which the population size at each generation needs to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 M. Gonzalez , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto

A novel approach is proposed to establish a sharp upper bound on the expected supremum of a separable martingale random field, serving as an alternative to classical universal chaining-based methods. The proposed approach begins by deriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yoichi Nishiyama

A {\em maximal inequality} seeks to estimate $\mathbb{E}\max_i X_i$ in terms of properties of the $X_i$. When the latter are independent, the union bound (in its various guises) can yield tight upper bounds. If, however, the $X_i$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Aryeh Kontorovich

We address the fundamental problem of selection under uncertainty by modeling it from the perspective of Bayesian persuasion. In our model, a decision maker with imperfect information always selects the option with the highest expected…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Siddhartha Banerjee , Kamesh Munagala , Yiheng Shen , Kangning Wang

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

A model for decision making that generalizes Expected Utility Maximization is presented. This model, Expected Qualitative Utility Maximization, encompasses the Maximin criterion. It relaxes both the Independence and the Continuity…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lehmann