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Related papers: How to reduce long-term drift in present-day and d…

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We present a large ensemble of simulations of an Earth-like world with increasing insolation and rotation rate. Unlike previous work utilizing idealized aquaplanet configurations we focus our simulations on modern Earth-like topography. The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-12 M. J. Way , A. D. Del Genio , I. Aleinov , T. L. Clune , M. Kelley , N. Y. Kiang

The parameterization of moist convection contributes to uncertainty in climate modeling and numerical weather prediction. Machine learning (ML) can be used to learn new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output, but it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Paul A. O'Gorman , John G. Dwyer

Clouds' efficiency at reflecting solar radiation and trapping the terrestrial one is strongly modulated by their diurnal cycle. Much attention has been paid to mean cloud properties due to their critical role in climate projections;…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-03-06 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato

Forecasting ocean drift trajectories are important for many applications, including search and rescue operations, oil spill cleanup and iceberg risk mitigation. In an operational setting, forecasts of drift trajectories are produced based…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-26 Håvard Heitlo Holm , Martin Lilleeng Sætra , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

Global climate models aim to reproduce physical processes on a global scale and predict quantities such as temperature given some forcing inputs. We consider climate ensembles made of collections of such runs with different initial…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Stefano Castruccio , Michael L. Stein

In recent years, the climate change research community has become highly interested in describing the anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, commonly termed "event attribution." Limitations in the observational record and in…

What kind of environment may exist on terrestrial planets around other stars? In spite of the lack of direct observations, it may not be premature to speculate on exoplanetary climates, for instance to optimize future telescopic…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Francois Forget , Jeremy Leconte

The ocean thermohaline circulation, also called meridional overturning circulation, is caused by water density contrasts. This circulation has large capacity of carrying heat around the globe and it thus affects the energy budget and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Hongjun Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Geophysical models of the atmosphere and ocean invariably involve parameterizations. These represent two distinct areas: Subgrid processes that the model cannot resolve, and diabatic sources in the equations, due to radiation for example.…

This paper describes the modeling of a custom-made underwater glider capable of flexible maneuvers in constrained areas and proposes a control system. Due to the lack of external actuators, underwater gliders can be greatly influenced by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Hanzhi Yang , Nina Mahmoudian

Cloud is critical for planetary climate and habitability, but it is also one of the most challenging parts of studying planets in and beyond the solar system. Here we use a cloud-resolving model (CRM) with high resolution (2 km) in a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-17 Qiyu Song , Jun Yang , Hang Luo , Cheng Li , Shizuo Fu

Atmosphere modelling applications become increasingly memory-bound due to the inconsistent development rates between processor speeds and memory bandwidth. In this study, we mitigate memory bottlenecks and reduce the computational load of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-16 Siyuan Chen , Yi Zhang , Yiming Wang , Zhuang Liu , Xiaohan Li , Wei Xue

Decisions related to electric power systems planning and operations rely on assumptions and insights informed by historic weather data and records of past performance. Evolving climate trends are, however, changing the energy use patterns…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-09 Anna M. Brockway , Laurel N. Dunn

1D climate models are less sophisticated than 3D global circulation models (GCMs), however their computational time is much less expensive, allowing a large number of runs in a short period of time to explore a wide parameter space.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-28 Thomas Fauchez , Giada Arney , Ravi Kumar Kopparapu , Shawn Domagal Goldman

Several different factors influence the seasonal cycle of a planet. This study uses a general circulation model and an energy balance model (EBM) to assess the parameters that govern the seasonal cycle. We define two metrics to describe the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-21 Ilai Guendelman , Yohai Kaspi

Climate change is accelerating the frequency and severity of unprecedented events, deviating from established patterns. Predicting these out-of-distribution (OOD) events is critical for assessing risks and guiding climate adaptation. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , María Pérez-Ortiz

Atmospheric aerosols influence the Earth's climate, primarily by affecting cloud formation and scattering visible radiation. However, aerosol-related physical processes in climate simulations are highly uncertain. Constraining these…

Coupled climate model simulations designed to isolate the effects of Arctic sea-ice loss often apply artificial heating, either directly to the ice or through modification of the surface albedo, to constrain sea-ice in the absence of other…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-22 Neil T. Lewis , Mark R. England , James A. Screen , Ruth Geen , Regan Mudhar , William J. M. Seviour , Stephen I. Thomson

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution generating the observed data changes over time. If drift is present, machine learning models can become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

Reduced precision floating point arithmetic is now routinely deployed in numerical weather forecasting over short timescales. However the applicability of these reduced precision techniques to longer timescale climate simulations -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Tom Kimpson , E. Adam Paxton , Matthew Chantry , Tim Palmer