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The identification of sets of co-regulated genes that share a common function is a key question of modern genomics. Bayesian profile regression is a semi-supervised mixture modelling approach that makes use of a response to guide inference…

Statistical procedures such as Bayes factor model selection and Bayesian model averaging require the computation of normalizing constants (e.g., marginal likelihoods). These normalizing constants are notoriously difficult to obtain, as they…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-19 Quentin F. Gronau , Henrik Singmann , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

This article presents the MAGI software package for the inference of dynamic systems. The focus of MAGI is on dynamics modeled by nonlinear ordinary differential equations with unknown parameters. While such models are widely used in…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-18 Samuel W. K. Wong , Shihao Yang , S. C. Kou

Ensemble forecasts are commonly used to support decision-making and policy planning across various fields because they often offer improved accuracy and stability compared to individual models. As each model has its own unique…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Minsu Kim , Li Shandross , Evan L. Ray , Nicholas G. Reich

Circular variables that represent directions or periodic observations arise in many fields, such as biology and environmental sciences. An important issue when dealing with circular data is how to estimate their dispersion robustly,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Houyem Demni , Mia Hubert , Giovanni C. Porzio , Peter J. Rousseeuw

In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

Bayesian graphical modeling provides an appealing way to obtain uncertainty estimates when inferring network structures, and much recent progress has been made for Gaussian models. These models have been used extensively in applications to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-06 Michael Finegold , Mathias Drton

Data transformations are essential for broad applicability of parametric regression models. However, for Bayesian analysis, joint inference of the transformation and model parameters typically involves restrictive parametric transformations…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

Restricted Boltzmann machines (RBMs) are energy-based models analogous to the Ising model and are widely applied in statistical machine learning. The standard inverse Ising problem with a complete dataset requires computing both data and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-01 Kaiji Sekimoto , Muneki Yasuda

In this paper, we introduce the R package mcmsupply which implements Bayesian hierarchical models for estimating and projecting modern contraceptive market supply shares over time. The package implements four model types. These models vary…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Hannah Comiskey , Niamh Cahill

This paper focusses on robust estimation of location and concentration parameters of the von Mises-Fisher distribution in the Bayesian framework. The von Mises-Fisher (or Langevin) distribution has played a central role in directional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yasuhito Tsuruta , Sho Kazari , Kouji Tahata

Mixture models with Gamma and or inverse-Gamma distributed mixture components are useful for medical image tissue segmentation or as post-hoc models for regression coefficients obtained from linear regression within a Generalised Linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-27 A. Llera , D. Vidaurre , R. H. R. Pruim , C. F. Beckmann

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz

Advances in data collecting technologies in genomics have significantly increased the need for tools designed to study the genetic basis of many diseases. Effective statistical methods should excel in both prediction accuracy and biomarker…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Anthony-Alexander Christidis , Stefan Van Aelst , Ruben Zamar

Ensembles of forecasts are typically employed to account for the forecast uncertainties inherent in predictions of future weather states. However, biases and dispersion errors often present in forecast ensembles require statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sándor Baran , Annette Möller

Fuzzy data, prevalent in social sciences and other fields, capture uncertainties arising from subjective evaluations and measurement imprecision. Despite significant advancements in fuzzy statistics, a unified inferential regression-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Antonio Calcagnì , Przemysław Grzegorzewski , Maciej Romaniuk

With the advancements of computer architectures, the use of computational models proliferates to solve complex problems in many scientific applications such as nuclear physics and climate research. However, the potential of such models is…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Vojtech Kejzlar , Tapabrata Maiti

Multivariate normal mixtures provide a flexible model for high-dimensional data. They are widely used in statistical genetics, statistical finance, and other disciplines. Due to the unboundedness of the likelihood function, classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-27 Jiahua Chen , Xianming Tan

It is critical to accurately simulate data when employing Monte Carlo techniques and evaluating statistical methodology. Measurements are often correlated and high dimensional in this era of big data, such as data obtained in…

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is an approach to statistical inference where simulations from an assumed model are used to construct estimators and confidence sets. SBI is often used when the likelihood is intractable and to construct…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Lorenzo Tomaselli , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman